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Hoosier

NO ACCESS TO PR/OT
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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Maybe I missed it but I never saw a warning update for the Will/Cook County tor warned storm.
  2. Gonna get rolled by that cell if it holds together.
  3. Mesoscale Discussion 0685 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat May 23 2020 Areas affected...northern Illinois...southern Wisconsin...eastern Iowa...and far northwestern Indiana Concerning...Tornado Watch 207... Valid 231951Z - 232115Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 207 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across WW 207. Severe storms are expected to impact that Chicago Metro area over the next 1-2 hours or so. DISCUSSION...Scattered supercells have evolved across much of WW 207 over the past couple of hours. A few of these storms have a history of producing tornadoes (particularly in eastern Iowa and near Whiteside, Woodford and Livingston Counties in Illinois). The storms are in an environment that has become increasingly conducive for tornadoes, with low-level warming and moistening contributing to around 2000 J/kg MUCAPE. Shear appears to be maximized near the warm front across northwestern and north-central Illinois, and supercells in that region may continue to produce tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and occasional 1-inch hail stones over the next couple hours. A separate cell over Kendall and northern Grundy counties in Illinois has had occasionally strong cyclonic wind signatures at times and may pose a damaging wind/isolated tornado threat as it approaches the southern Chicago Metro area over the next 1-2 hours. Farther south, newer cells are attempting to organize across central Illinois, and these trends may continue given sustained surface covergence along an axis from near MLI to BMI. West of this axis, surface winds have veered to more of a westerly component in tandem with drying aloft and subsidence. These areas have been suggested for clearing from WW 207 (see the most recent Watch Status product for more information). ..Cook/Hart.. 05/23/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX... LAT...LON 43109217 43269127 43348977 43268820 42948754 42398734 41798695 41048682 40488676 40208729 40118837 40008919 40118988 40359010 40919035 41399061 41589119 41639169 41999207 42519226 42799226 43109217
  4. Going to guess that it's not currently 87 degrees at ORD.
  5. You can sort of infer where a locally lower threat may exist (at least tornado wise). Waukegan, etc. in a zone close to the lake. T/Td spreads are running a bit high in Chicago as well, though this could change with time.
  6. My uncle's friend died from the virus. 55 years old and according to my uncle, no underlying health conditions. Unfortunately it wouldn't surprise me if we get to the point where most of us know or know of someone who got seriously ill or died from it.
  7. imo, this is the best tornado threat in the LOT cwa since Memorial Day 2019.
  8. 00z runs look pretty decent. I guess if I had to nitpick, it would be the low-mid level flow. It's good enough for an organized severe threat (incl tornadoes) but perhaps on the lower side of adequate.
  9. I mean, I agree with not hyping up everything, but I think a slight risk would've been justified on a day 2 update in this case. We aren't taking about mod/high.
  10. lol, I was kinda smiling as I typed it. He posts about the Midwest as if he's some longtime resident of the south and he's been in SC for what, 10 minutes? Just a little funny.
  11. This model projection for Cook county is nasty. 11k deaths by early Aug. Hopefully it comes in lower... way lower. https://covid19-projections.com/us
  12. Boy, South Carolina sounds like a magical place. Does it rain gold there too?
  13. Indianapolis area reported the highest number of new cases, as is always the case. However, the new deaths actually tied in Marion and Lake counties, which is very unusual because Marion pretty much always has the highest deaths.
  14. Hi from the land of the socked in.
  15. Be careful with your memorial day gatherings folks.
  16. IN had one of its highest new case numbers since this all began, and the highest number since May 5. BUT, the positive test rate was about 9%. That is not ideal but it continues the recent trend of getting around/under 10%.
  17. It won't rank up there with the nicer Mays.
  18. Hard to keep driving the case numbers down as more and more things reopen. The good news is that there hasn't been a spike in raw case numbers and the positive test percentage is trending down. With most of Indiana starting to reopen 16 days ago, this is about the time when you would start to look at the data to see if reopening has had any impact (lag time due to incubation period, time to get tested and get the results) but the 4-6 week mark may be a better indicator since more people will have been going out and about more for a longer period of time by then. Barbers/salons opened up 2 days ago in my county. I passed by a Great Clips and the line was out the door. Looked like most/all people were wearing masks.
  19. Florida If ever there's a question about which state, guess Florida https://cbs12.com/news/local/woman-who-designed-floridas-covid-19-dashboard-has-been-removed-from-her-position
  20. There is a documentary about Dr. Fujita on PBS tonight. https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/films/mr-tornado
  21. I refuse to wear a winter coat at this time of year. I don't care if it's 30 degrees.
  22. Chicago broke the May precip record, with almost 2 weeks left in the month. 8.41" and counting.
  23. Just amazing that they are going to break the record 3 years in a row.
  24. Only about 0.05 away from the May precip record at ORD.
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