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Everything posted by Hoosier
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A dry month? Can it be? Seriously? Really? I do put less stock in the precip progs in general but especially at this time of year because convection can quickly ramp up amounts.
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Some guy in Indiana is trolling Michigan with these billboards. https://www.wlns.com/news/national/indiana-billboards-poke-fun-at-michigan-coronavirus-restrictions/amp/
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Spring/Summer 2020 Medium & Long Range Discussion
Hoosier replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
We could use more rain. -
That is true... there were more tests conducted than average, which is why I mentioned the 18% positive test rate from that batch of results. That is not a good percentage... you want it to be in the single digits. But again, it's one day.
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Big increase in new cases in my county... I think it might be the highest day total yet but if not it's close. Almost tied Marion county in new cases despite us having half of their population. The positive percentage rate on this new round of results was just under 18%, which is actually a bit higher than the long-term positive percentage rate in my county (which is just under 16%). It is one day and hopefully the numbers/rates are better in the coming days.
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Beaches in Indiana were packed this weekend. And I called the bolded like 2 months ago, lol PORTER COUNTY, Ind. (WLS) -- Thousands of people packed the Indiana beaches Sunday and the park rangers at the Indiana Dunes National Park is expecting more of the same Monday. "Yesterday was insane," beachgoer Chris Tsampis said. "I have not seen it like that unless it was on the 4th of July honestly." Tsampis said he and his brother left the Porter Beach because it was just too crowded. "We came on motorcycles and it was backed up four to five miles so we ended up just leaving and going to Michigan City for a bite to eat," he said. "Most of them were Illinois license plates. Makes sense. From Chicago probably." John Pierre Anderson, a supervisory ranger of the Indiana Dunes National Park said his team expected the rush, but managing those large crowds during a pandemic was overwhelming. "Oh my. Definitely thousands of people. Our big concern was that they just were not social distancing at all," Anderson said. Anderson and his team do their best to remind people of the social distancing guidelines while on the beach that stretches 15 miles across the dunes state and national parks. Rangers say dozens of cars were parked illegally because the spots were all full. "It was crazy," Anderson said. "A lot of people out here. Parking lots filled by 9 a.m. https://abc7chicago.com/illinois-coronavirus-indiana-wisconsin-beaches/6210385/
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Just beat me
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Might be another instance of ORD gone wild. 92 there, which is several degrees warmer than surrounding locations.
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There are many ways to define "spring" and I'm not saying this is the best way. But if you look at days with a high of 50-79 degrees between March 1 and May 25, ORD had 61 such days out of a possible 86 days. That number surprised me as I certainly would have guessed less than that. I don't know how that compares to average though. We've certainly had some large ranges in temperatures this month.
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Did something happen to tropicaltidbits?
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Here's an example. With a temp of 90, you would need a dewpoint of 78 to get a heat index of 105. What would 90/78 be on the Humidex?
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I'm not too familiar with the Humidex, but it seems more aggressive than the heat index that we use here. Like, a given temperature and dewpoint will produce a higher number on the Humidex than the heat index. Is that right?
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Funnel be like
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Public Information Statement National Weather Service Chicago IL 625 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020 /725 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020/ ...PRELIMINARY SUMMARY OF THE 5/23/20 SEVERE WEATHER EVENT... .OVERVIEW...During the afternoon and early evening of Saturday, May 23, there was scattered severe weather across northern Illinois and northwest Indiana. Some of the most pronounced damage was in the far southwest Chicago suburbs occurring in the mid-afternoon. .MINOOKA AREA TORNADO... Rating: EF-0 Estimated Peak Wind: 85 mph Path length /Statute/: 6.3 miles Path width /Maximum/: 100 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 1 Start date: 5/23/20 Start time: 2:53 P.M. CDT Start location: 3 miles west-northwest of Minooka Start Lat/Lon: 41.4535 / -88.3269 End date: 5/23/20 End time: 3:07 P.M. CDT End Location: 2.5 miles south of Shorewood End lat/lon: 41.4800 / -88.2106 SUMMARY: The tornado appeared to develop near I-80 about a mile west of the Minooka exit. The tornado was likely responsible for blowing over a car on I-80 resulting in an injury. The tornado then went on to down at least two wooden utility poles, about a half dozen large trees, and numerous large branches. Trained spotter reports helped to further clarify this was tornado damage. There was also some spotty wind damage just north of the tornado in a subdivision, and just south within the town of Minooka. EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph EF1...Weak......86 tO 110 mph EF2...Strong....111 To 135 mph EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph EF4...Violent...166 To 200 mph EF5...Violent...>200 mph .SHOREWOOD THUNDERSTORM DOWNBURST... Estimated Peak Wind: 75-95 mph Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 5/23/20 Start time: 3:04 P.M. CDT End date: 5/23/20 End time: 3:07 P.M. CDT SUMMARY: At least two dozen large trees were downed, including some snapped, in residential Shorewood along and near Seil Street. This includes large trees down along the DuPage River. This tree damage was concentrated and intense, with all trees laying in an easterly direction, evidence for a strong downburst (microburst). .JOLIET THUNDERSTORM DOWNBURSTS... Estimated Peak Wind: 75-95 mph Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 5/23/20 Start time: 3:12 P.M. CDT End date: 5/23/20 End time: 3:28 P.M. CDT SUMMARY: Many dozen large trees downed across Joliet including in its downtown. There was also wind damage to multiple roofs most notably much of the roof lifted off and thrown from a downtown building. This entire damage area was most likely due to a series of downbursts given its large footprint, reports over a fairly lengthy duration, and corroborating radar data as the organized severe thunderstorms moved through. NOTE: The information in this statement is PRELIMINARY and subject to change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS Storm Data. Thank you to our trained storm spotters and Emergency Management Agency partners for their helpful damage reports. $$ Friedlein/Bardou
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Daily hospitalizations went up in the week of May 17-23 after trending down prior to that. Not a good sign, and it could mean that deaths sort of plateau if not rise sometime in June especially if we get another week or two of this.
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ORD had a freeze only 15 days ago, and now a high of 90. I looked quickly but I believe this is the shortest gap between a freeze and a high of 90 in Chicago since April 1980. 4/17/1980 had a low of 28 and 4/22/1980 had a high of 91. Believe it or not, the 91 was followed up by another freeze a couple days later. Talk about whiplash.
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Officially the earliest 90 in Chicago since 2013.
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Looks like ORD will top out at 89 or 90.
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Feels like it's about 100 degrees outside. Obv just not used to this kind of weather yet. Should top out in the upper 80s.
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A pencil thin zone right through Kankakee
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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 902 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2020 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0612 PM TORNADO 5 NE GENOA 42.14N 88.62W 05/23/2020 DE KALB IL LAW ENFORCEMENT 40 X 20 BARN DAMAGES WITH DEBRIS BLOWN DOWNSTREAM INTO A FIELD, POWER LINES DOWN ABOUT A MILE DOWNSTREAM, LIKELY TORNADO PATH BASED ON SPOTTER REPORTS AND RADAR. && $$ - IZZI
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Looking nastier now.
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New severe warned cell going to pass a bit south of here.
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87 is what went into the climate report. MDW was 81 and PWK was 77. The 87 is probably bogus but I don't know if anybody at LOT will correct it.
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Had some decent wind and of course, rain. The flow off the deck is lacking just a bit as you get into northeast IL (especially around 850 mb) so I wonder if that could explain the lack of tornado reports in that area so far. Models prog an increase in the LLJ though over the coming hours so assuming the atmosphere hasn't been too worked over, could see another round of severe storms.