Hoosier

Some of these states need to rein it in a bit. Almost 9,000 new cases in Florida. Sounds like the bars are going to be closing down there or only offering takeout/delivery when possible. Hopefully the states that are spiking bad right now can stabilize/decrease as we head into July.

They didn't really go into detail about the potential for more than one round. I had been thinking the better threat would probably not arrive here until after dark but will have to watch the afternoon.

I'd keep the enhanced and then we'll see what things look like in the morning.

Yeah, not enough is known at this point about how long those after effects can last. But it sounds like it's not pleasant if you are one of the people dealing with it for weeks/months.

Timing appears to be less than ideal this far south as far as the main severe threat, but it looks like a considerable amount of instability could hang around into late evening. Would definitely be more optimistic farther north. My optimism locally is more middle of the road.

Elkhart county has been having a decent amount of spread lately.

For the love of God, don't attend a family gathering if you have one of the symptoms of the virus, even if you think it's something else. https://www.wfaa.com/mobile/article/news/north-texas-family-shaken-after-18-relatives-test-positive-for-covid-19-following-surprise-birthday-party/287-ea8960ea-4c3c-40c1-b75e-f4437fe6f836

Quite the retrograding system on the GFS Also been hinting at a tropical system in the long range.

Warned cell west of here... we'll see if it makes it over eventually.

Lots of sun here.

Yeah, you don't really want it running rampant in the community even among younger people, because it becomes that much harder to keep it away from the more vulnerable folks.

Anybody who is asymptomatic can get tested? Like say you're a 20 year old college kid with no symptoms but you're just curious... even that person?

Indiana reported just over 10k test results today. I think that is the highest number of tests in a day, or at least one of the highest. Pretty good percentage on positive tests lately as well... not as good as some of the states in the northeast but consistently in the mid single digits or so. I read that the state is testing every nursing home employee this month (in part to get a better idea on asymptomatic carriers especially in higher risk jobs like that) so there are actually asymptomatic people being tested in addition to people who have symptoms.

Not a big supporter of JB I take it? I kind of wish we had some kind of mask requirement here, but we don't. Just strongly recommended, although some individual stores/businesses are making everyone wear a mask. Even without the requirement in many places, I am still seeing like 80 or 90% wearing them indoors. I wonder what mask compliance is like in other parts of IN. My guess is it's less.

Over 30k new cases reported in the US today... the highest number in about 6-7 weeks. Some of it is due to increased testing, but there is a real ongoing increase in transmission in a number of places especially in southern states.

Nobody will EVER beat me when it comes to posting about drought stuff. I am all over that ****

Daily case numbers have trended down in Illinois, so I would expect the death numbers to improve in the coming weeks.

D0 making an appearance in much of Indiana

Good or bad, depending how you look at it. About half of the deaths in my county are from LTC facilities... 113 out of 231.

The horror

Interesting read. It does say there is no evidence of the mutation resulting in more serious disease.

Not sure but I tend to think not. The mutations haven't been all that significant up to this point.

The increase seems to be slowing there now, but we'll probably need some more time to be sure.

7 day rolling average of US deaths/day is currently about 750. Models drop the daily average down to about 600-650 before plateauing and then starting to rise again late summer into fall. I do think we are in a better place than when we started in terms of understanding this virus and how to try to treat it. Not rushing to intubate, remdesivir, and now this news out of the UK of a steroid drug having some positive effect, etc. Hopefully we can get the deaths lower than projected.

We are gradually descending toward La Nina. Nino to Nina transitions have generally had warmer than average summers, especially in the past 30-40 years. I wouldn't guarantee it but I'd definitely lean that way.