Hoosier

Not sure if this is one of the stats that Chicago Storm is compiling, but ORD looks to either tie or break the record for the most 80+ degree days in meteorological summer. Today was day #77. The record is 78 days (1995), and the current forecast for ORD is 78 on Sunday and 82 on Monday.

Do we have herd immunity for the common cold? Asking for a friend.

Although there are a couple days left to go, we can already call this. Officially, this will be the driest July-August in Chicago since 1941. List of driest Jul-Aug: 1894: 1.20" 1919: 2.69" 1897: 3.18" 1893: 3.26" 1941: 3.26" 1916: 3.27" 2020: 3.35" (through 8/28) 1874: 3.73" 1930: 3.80" 1944: 3.82"

Chicago likely heading for the driest August in decades... 1893: 0.18" 1889: 0.39" 1879: 0.45" 1881: 0.54" 1894: 0.60" 1976: 0.80" 2020: 0.80" (through 10 pm 8/28) 1962: 0.85" 1973: 0.85" 1974: 0.90" 1899: 0.91" 1926: 0.99" 1953: 1.00" 1960: 1.02" 1916: 1.05"

Late bumps to 95 at ORD and MDW.

If you're interested, I have saved plenty of room on the Drought Express.

I think you're screwed for like 10 years now.

With 31 days of 90+ for Chicago, I decided to look at other years that had 30+ such days. Out of 18 years (not including this year), 14 of them went on to produce at least one more 90+ degree day after September 1.

Yeah, the immune system has some problems with this group of viruses as time goes by. I think it's going to depend on what "success" is considered to be. The vaccine being a magic bullet where you get it once and never have to get it again seems extremely unlikely.

2014

Haven't noticed anything too fishy with the ASOS itself. The obs are generally similar to other reporting sites in Cook county such as MDW and PWK.

Maybe we can get a good fire season around here if this keeps up.

This will be the first time on record that June, July and August each rank in the top 10 warmest for Chicago. Actually just missed having each month rank in the top 5.

Coming soon, met fall

Today is 30 years since the Plainfield tornado. https://www.weather.gov/lot/Plainfield_Tornado_Anniversary I was 7 but already interested in weather and can vaguely remember hearing about this tornado. Really quite an anomaly given the time of year. Due to the way that the EF scale was designed, if this same tornado were to occur today and the scale strictly applied (no consideration of corn damage/ground scouring), it is doubtful that it would be rated EF-5.

After whatever happens today, the next several days don't exactly look loaded with solid precip chances locally. One difference though will be cooler temps.

I agree about there being drawbacks, but it would be helpful to the board if you could give a brief description of why instead of these one liners.

Well, this was not a very good performance overall, with the exception of today which was only a 1 degree miss at 5 days lead time. Was too cool on 1 day and too warm on 3 days. Tuesday was affected by that outflow situation which I had not factored in at the time, but I am skeptical that it would have made it into the upper 90s even without that. Better luck next time. I am starting to think that the only way to get to 100 is if a regional drought sets in early enough to take out a sig amount of the crops upstream. 8 years and counting for Chicago.

LOT is kind of bullish about tomorrow. Convective trends could get messy though so not sure how the details will play out.

Condolences

Up to 94 at ORD. Looking out the window here, the smoke seems less noticeable than yesterday. Actually I don't really see it at all.

Timing is off for us. I am drawing a blank on the upper air setup for Cristobal but all I know is it didn't look like this lol

Northern extent of the solid cloud shield with Laura is already into central IL/IN, but it appears to have slowed/stalled northward movement.

Lawns look bad around here (don't really care though) but haven't noticed the yellowing/leaf drop.

Today might be warmer than yesterday at ORD. Half joking