Hoosier
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Everything posted by Hoosier
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Night and day difference with the GFS in that timeframe.
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Cardio work is more fun outside of the gym anyway. At least in my opinion.
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Serious snoozer weather around here for the forseeable future.
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Non, j'ai utilise un traducteur.
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Spike in the next couple days may look worse than usual since we are coming off of a holiday weekend. On the plus side, at least Jonger can work on those guns.
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Almost criminal for Sep 8
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Bienvenue sur le forum!
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It's crappy enough. Would be better with some sun.
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This is what will be factored in on the next update. Weekly average precip is around 0.75" in most areas, so it has been a wetter than average week in much of the dry/drought area.
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This is a little too drastic of a change. Fortunately we will get back into the 70s and maybe throw an 80 in there at some point.
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Got a little screwed with the rains. About 0.25-0.50" in my immediate area.
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I used to care a lot about having snow on the ground, but not so much anymore. Two exceptions are December/holidays and the other is if the depth gets large... say near or over 2 feet. That is kind of interesting to see.
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We are like 3-6 months behind the other subforums.
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Saw that. Still seems like an environment that could support isolated severe criteria hail, but I can only put so much energy into discussing a 5% hail area.
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Today was the 85th consecutive day of highs of 70+ for Chicago. Not close to the record of 117 days. Tomorrow is a threat to break the streak.
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Anyone have any early thoughts on winter? Mine is that if you like long lasting snowcover retention, it won't be a good one in about 80% of the subforum. That being said, I forsee a good battle zone cutting through our sub at various times, which could feature rather prolific snow/ice events.
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It is about 25-30 miles farther north this way, but yeah, no change farther west.
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Hail area was expanded north on the new update, but only through the I-80 corridor.
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Decent sounding there with a good amount of elevated CAPE. A bit surprised that SPC doesn't have the 5% hail area extending farther north, but we'll see if that changes on the 1630z update.
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Some bust potential on temps around here on Tue. This almost looks like a springtime map where the warm front gets held up south of Lake Michigan. Obviously it's not spring and the lake temps are a lot warmer now compared to that time of year, but the weak pressure gradient/low level flow in the area doesn't give me confidence in getting the front farther north.
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Modest development underway in IL.
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Personally I would have removed the 5%. Could even make a case for removing the 2%... at least part of it. Though the kinematic environment is very impressive and if anything can manage to be sfc based, it would have a shot to produce.
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New LOT mesoscale disco is worth a read. To summarize, considerable negatives with a highly conditional threat. Better shot at convective development after 11 pm or so.
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Pattern looks to be on the dry side after this regime passes so wherever droughtstein has not been eradicated by next weekend, it shall live on a while longer.
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ORD is trailing MDW and PWK by 3 degrees. That is a most unusual occurrence especially more recently.
