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Everything posted by Hoosier
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Indiana governor is extending the current restrictions until at least August. So restaurants will remain at max of 75% indoor capacity and bars at 50%. We have been able to keep our rise in cases under control with those percentages so no use playing with fire and going to 100%
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That seems like it is the bigger issue at this point. It is a problem if you're waiting 1 or 2 weeks for the test result.
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If we maintain the current daily fatality numbers from now through the end of the year, we will be around 300,000 deaths by Jan 1. Hopefully that doesn't happen. The modeling is projecting about 800-1000 deaths per day for quite a while though.
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California is starting to ration testing... not everyone will be able to get one. Not sure if this is happening anywhere else. https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna1233963
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Can you guys knock it off? And I'll take the opportunity to give a general reminder to try to address the substance of people's posts without the name calling.
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Good step. Now for the big trial that includes people who aren't so healthy.
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This is really the biggest concern. It is impossible to keep the virus contained to younger age groups when you have so many cases (and FL has a lot of multigenerational housing). That heat map is a nice depiction of it trickling into the older age groups more over time.
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Not the race you want to be in CA, FL, TX
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I agree with that. All labs should report all of their test results as they are supposed to do. Transparency is a good thing. How much the lack of reporting some of the negative results is affecting the statewide positive percentage is hard to say. In any case, there is clearly a problem in parts of FL right now based on the other metrics.
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That link doesn't mention incorrect positive tests. It says that there are negative test results that haven't been reported. That is two different things. Not reporting all of the negative tests would affect the positive test percentage but not the raw number of positive cases.
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Sorry about your mom. I can relate to what you're saying about the medical field. And DON'T get me started on nursing homes. I could write a book on that stuff due to unfortunately having more up close experience than I'd like at my age.
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I'd argue that Sweden lost more people than they should have. Doctors have gotten better at treating the virus compared to Mar/Apr, and it may be better in October than it is now. I think the more you delay getting it, the lower the chance of dying from it.
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Any reasoning for that? That is the time when I would expect an increase in cases since you will have people getting together for the holidays. The one caveat could be the herd immunity angle and if the virus has already reached a significant percentage of the population by then, but as we've seen, there are indications that the immune response doesn't seem to last long in some people.
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If we can get a vaccine that gives most recipients immunity for 6-12 months, that is better than nothing and should probably be considered a big win. They are trying to do something that has never been done before (vaccine for a coronavirus) and trying to do it in record time. Odds are it won't be quite as effective as we'd like.
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There have been thousands (many thousands) of deaths under age 65 since this began. Your own chart posted on the previous page shows it. You are minimizing it by acting like it's all people in their 80s who are dying.
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The bars are tough to deal with. I think it was the governor of Texas (or maybe someone else) who said they just aren't made for a pandemic. Perfect environment and circumstances to spread a virus. If we had near universal mask usage (especially in areas where cases are high) and people stopped these large gatherings, whether it be bars, birthday parties, grad parties, etc. it would go a long way to getting the cases down.
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Good but sobering story. I know there are some issues with false negatives on tests and what not, but a case where somebody is sick, then tests negative/feels better for a long time and then gets sick again is hard to explain as anything other than getting reinfected with covid.
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I gotta admit that number looks shockingly high. Sadly there will be kids that die when school opens, whether they catch it at school or somewhere else. There seems to be differing risk level even among kids though. Like teenagers seem to be more of a risk than really young kids (but obviously teenagers are at much lower risk of serious illness/death compared to middle age/old adults).
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I am guessing that a lot of those who died in their 50s/60s would have been around for a while. You can live for decades with many of the preexisting conditions that are a problem with covid.
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I remember you being sick because I was sick around the same time. Didn't have the bad headaches but had all of the other symptoms. Fortunately my cough and shortness of breath were of relatively short duration. The biggest oddity to me was the fever that lasted almost a full week. Never had anything like that. I did start getting better the day after taking Z pack so perhaps it was something else or my body was about to kick it anyway.
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I have seen speculation about people being inside more in the south now compared to the Mar-May period. Not sure how much I buy that explanation though. When you have 80-90% mask wearing, it seemingly puts a big dent in the virus' ability to spread.
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If you are sick for a week or two and then return to normal, then sure, it's not that big a deal at the end of the day. The problem is when it doesn't go that way. The longer term phenomenon is a real thing, we just don't know how prevalent that is. And at this point it seems like there really isn't anything that doctors can do if you fall into that group that experiences longer term symptoms. Just give it time and hope for the best.
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15,300 new cases in Florida and I'm guessing the positive percentage isn't good.
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Daily positive % crept up to 10% in Indiana. Had been a long run of mid to upper single digit % on the dailies... like a couple months.
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The thing is it took a while for the increases to really take off in the states that reopened early. It seems like there is some kind of tipping point of too much reopening, too many people getting careless with their behavior, or some combination. It's part art and part science as to how much reopening you can get away with, and some states may be able to push it a little more than others.
