Hoosier

Drier than average Nina December actually isn't that unheard of. Just had one in 2017 in most of the sub.

It may not necessarily be a post-Thanksgiving dump either. Or it is slight at best. Last several Tuesdays numbers: 11/3: 49 11/10: 67 11/17: 89 11/24: 103 12/1: 142

CPC maps have a similar flavor to the CFS

Dry, you said?

It makes sense that this would be happening in areas that are getting into a dire situation, and there are quite a few states that fall into that category. The risk with doing that of course is that if you send somebody away and then they worsen and have to come back to the hospital, it might be too late to do much for them.

142 new deaths reported in Indiana. You can lose perspective in numbers so when adjusting for population, it would be like Illinois reporting about 270 deaths in a day.

Truth. Almost have a better chance of seeing Bigfoot.

This would be nice to know. We know it can happen, and it may start happening more often as more people become farther removed from their initial infection. It takes some work though to be sure that somebody was infected twice and not just testing positive from a remnant covid-19 infection.

I do wonder if that proportion of infections is the same (2x higher per 100,000 in 18-49) since October, or if that has started to shift at all. Could be that everybody is getting sick at higher rates now.

Imagine if the 18-49 infection rate was happening in the 65+ age group. We are ripping off 1-2k deaths per day even with the 65+ year olds getting infected at much lower rates than younger people.

^ all that being said, Indiana set a new Monday high in cases today, narrowly beating out last Monday.

The rate of increase in hospitalizations appears to be slowing down in Indiana, although they are still generally rising slowly. Want to see more data to be absolutely certain that the slowdown isn't due to reporting issues around Thanksgiving (on that note, notice what appears to be a "fake" dip around Thanksgiving). Also, even if the slowdown is real, we have to be aware of the possibility of a more dramatic increase coming later in December as a result of Thanksgiving gatherings. Numbers reported on last 7 days: 11/24: 3279 11/25: 3363 11/26: 3384 11/27: 3287 11/28: 3381 11/29: 3392 11/30: 3401

Given your well-known standards for a winter in Chicago, it was a pretty easy call to make.

Had some LES earlier but it has melted.

I expect you will have cause to be in this thread a good amount in the next few months.

Someone in my niece's class has covid. Supposedly the last day that person was at school was the 18th. The kids in her class don't wear masks except when they are in the hallways. The class size is small and they are relatively spaced out and have plexiglass barriers. The 17th is when I was at my sister's/niece's house for a few hours. The sinus thing that I had started on the 21st but it seemed to pass just a couple days later.

At least having dryness in winter is not like having it in summer. They do have one thing in common though -- boring.

Something I was thinking about is that the surveillance testing that has been going on at colleges/universities will largely be coming to an end for a while. I know some schools have already switched to remote learning for the rest of the semester. Not sure how noticeable of an impact this will have overall, but something to keep in mind.

I don't know. Will be interesting to see the recommendations that come out.

Interesting that the Pfizer vaccine has already been flown into O'Hare with EUA likely still a couple weeks away lol https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local/pfizers-covid-19-vaccine-arrives-at-chicagos-ohare-airport-source/2382026/?fbclid=IwAR0nDQzsVrGJ0cbhk2XBnyYJhTnFnD3NYEYKyipyVPx8zS-ItRz7wyGjoJQ&amp

Holy old run batman. That is 00z November 28.

Cleveland area gets it good on the Euro.

Rough times for the shoreline Lakeshore Hazard Message National Weather Service Chicago IL 942 AM CST Sun Nov 29 2020 INZ001-002-292345- /O.CON.KLOT.LS.W.0009.201130T0600Z-201201T1800Z/ Lake IN-Porter- 942 AM CST Sun Nov 29 2020 ...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Significant lakeshore flooding and shoreline erosion expected due to large waves of 13 to 17 feet and high lake levels. * WHERE...Lake IN and Porter Counties. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to noon CST Tuesday. The worst conditions are expected Monday and Monday evening. * IMPACTS...Numerous roads closed and low lying property including parking lots, lawns, and homes and businesses will be inundated near the lake. Some shoreline erosion will occur. * IMPACTS...The large waves combined with high lake levels will exacerbate beach and shoreline erosion. Additionally, a one foot increase in the water levels is possible along river mouths, canals, and ports along Lake Michigan. Low-lying property including parking lots, parks, paths, lawns, and structures along the immediate lakeshore will likely be inundated. Numerous road closures are possible. This includes East Lake Front Drive in the Beverly Hills area. Stay dry when waves are high!

There does seem to be better co-location of lift in the DGZ. Still not ideal, with the best omega below the growth zone, but better. At this point, I'd feel fairly confident going with 6-10" in the highest impacted areas. Conceivably could go higher, but how long this multi-banded setup persists has me a little cautious for now.

Check out the other HRRR. Cannot recall seeing a streamer firehosed with such definition like that into central/southern Indiana. Gotta think it's exaggerating.