Hoosier

It may not necessarily be a post-Thanksgiving dump either. Or it is slight at best. Last several Tuesdays numbers: 11/3: 49 11/10: 67 11/17: 89 11/24: 103 12/1: 142

CPC maps have a similar flavor to the CFS

Dry, you said?

It makes sense that this would be happening in areas that are getting into a dire situation, and there are quite a few states that fall into that category. The risk with doing that of course is that if you send somebody away and then they worsen and have to come back to the hospital, it might be too late to do much for them.

142 new deaths reported in Indiana. You can lose perspective in numbers so when adjusting for population, it would be like Illinois reporting about 270 deaths in a day.

Truth. Almost have a better chance of seeing Bigfoot.

This would be nice to know. We know it can happen, and it may start happening more often as more people become farther removed from their initial infection. It takes some work though to be sure that somebody was infected twice and not just testing positive from a remnant covid-19 infection.

I do wonder if that proportion of infections is the same (2x higher per 100,000 in 18-49) since October, or if that has started to shift at all. Could be that everybody is getting sick at higher rates now.

Imagine if the 18-49 infection rate was happening in the 65+ age group. We are ripping off 1-2k deaths per day even with the 65+ year olds getting infected at much lower rates than younger people.

^ all that being said, Indiana set a new Monday high in cases today, narrowly beating out last Monday.

The rate of increase in hospitalizations appears to be slowing down in Indiana, although they are still generally rising slowly. Want to see more data to be absolutely certain that the slowdown isn't due to reporting issues around Thanksgiving (on that note, notice what appears to be a "fake" dip around Thanksgiving). Also, even if the slowdown is real, we have to be aware of the possibility of a more dramatic increase coming later in December as a result of Thanksgiving gatherings. Numbers reported on last 7 days: 11/24: 3279 11/25: 3363 11/26: 3384 11/27: 3287 11/28: 3381 11/29: 3392 11/30: 3401

Given your well-known standards for a winter in Chicago, it was a pretty easy call to make.

Had some LES earlier but it has melted.

I expect you will have cause to be in this thread a good amount in the next few months.

Someone in my niece's class has covid. Supposedly the last day that person was at school was the 18th. The kids in her class don't wear masks except when they are in the hallways. The class size is small and they are relatively spaced out and have plexiglass barriers. The 17th is when I was at my sister's/niece's house for a few hours. The sinus thing that I had started on the 21st but it seemed to pass just a couple days later.

Something I was thinking about is that the surveillance testing that has been going on at colleges/universities will largely be coming to an end for a while. I know some schools have already switched to remote learning for the rest of the semester. Not sure how noticeable of an impact this will have overall, but something to keep in mind.

I don't know. Will be interesting to see the recommendations that come out.

Interesting that the Pfizer vaccine has already been flown into O'Hare with EUA likely still a couple weeks away lol https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local/pfizers-covid-19-vaccine-arrives-at-chicagos-ohare-airport-source/2382026/?fbclid=IwAR0nDQzsVrGJ0cbhk2XBnyYJhTnFnD3NYEYKyipyVPx8zS-ItRz7wyGjoJQ&amp

Seems like the general consensus is that vaccinations could start in mid-December or late December. Even in the people who get vaccinated first, they won't have good protection until mid to late January. I'm wondering what happens if someone gets the first shot and then develops covid in the few weeks after, but prior to the second shot. There's bound to be at least some isolated occurrences of that. Would they be more likely to get a milder case or no effect?

Appears that more of the hospitalization data got in today, with over 91k now in the US.

My fear is that we time it where the back half of Dec is worse than the first half. Hopefully not, because warm holidays suck.

GFS really goes nuts with the storm out east next weekend. Sub 960 mb...

Well, doesn't this look great? The temp map looks more like what you would expect in El Nino.

Gotta be the latter I'd think.

Anecdotal reports of tooth loss https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/26/health/covid-teeth-falling-out.amp.html