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Hoosier

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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Hoosier
    6 to 0 is quite a difference in that timeframe. I do vaguely remember a couple storms in that period that seemed like they may have been double digits imby, but can't say for sure, and then of course the March 1998 storm which dropped a foot imby.
  2. Hoosier
    Horrendous gap between 1981 and 1999, unfortunately coinciding with my childhood/early teen years. But that's what made the January 1999 storm so special.
  3. Hoosier
    Just getting caught up on the afternoon developments. Was hoping to get the winter storm warning here instead of an advisory, but it's an understandable move by LOT. And I am so far north in Lake county Indiana that I think I am still in the game for 6", as long as 1) the dry slot doesn't race in too quickly and 2) mixing doesn't occur prior to the dry slot approach. Close call and I'd certainly expect just north of here to reach 6" if I don't.
  4. Hoosier
    Agree. Things looking better for a little thump of wintry weather there and timed during the daytime.
  5. Hoosier
    Agree. The overall lack of warning criteria events this season plus wind component will make them go with a warning imo, even if they are not so confident on amounts meeting the threshold.
  6. Hoosier
    Are we gonna consider Mon/Tue as the "storm total" at ORD? Not that it's a big deal but let's say 9" occurs on Mon/Tue and then 1.3" or something on Wed/Thu with lake effect. That would bring the 4 day total to 10.3" but it would feel cheap to call that a 10" storm.
  7. Hoosier
    Agree. As long as ORD has a representative measurement, which has been suggested it will this time, then 7-10" still achievable.
  8. Hoosier
    Will be curious to see what the character of the snow is like. Will it be that heavy, wet stuff that plasters very well to everything or stuff that is fairly dense but a little less good at plastering. I am leaning toward the latter. If surface temps were near freezing, I'd be more inclined to go with the heavy plastering, but it looks like mostly a 30F or colder snowfall here.
  9. Hoosier
    Lol
  10. Hoosier
    I had 6-8" in my head for my area before the 00z Euro came out, and I think I'll go with that for now despite the Euro suggesting potential for a bit more. Not greatly confident in that call yet, but I think there will be a nice period of snow prior to the dryslot potentially sneaking in for a time and I am not particularly concerned about mixing cutting down on totals at this point.
  11. Hoosier
    Clearly we need Otto Pilot to help with the RAOBS.
  12. Hoosier
    Again? Why is that happening?
  13. Hoosier
    That stat is crazy. Every which way in this sub has had storms 12+ since then.
  14. Hoosier
    I like that shift for purely mby purposes, but not gonna completely buy off on it yet. Anything can happen with tomorrow's runs, from status quo, to shift south, to shift back north.
  15. Hoosier
    The interesting area from a decision standpoint on watch/no watch is the I-80 corridor. Some conflicting guidance and confidence wouldn't be quite as high as just north of there, but I think I would pull the trigger on a watch for I-80 for a couple reasons. One, there's been an obvious lack of snow so far this season and second, the wind aspect will add to impacts. Can always go with a watch and convert to an advisory if it looks like amounts will come in under criteria.
  16. Hoosier
    Less than 30" in Iowa and more than 6-8" in northern Illinois.
  17. Hoosier
    Most likely neither of those will happen. I'm rather bullish on Iowa (always bet on banding) but wouldn't go 2+ feet without more support for it.
  18. Hoosier
    Anybody near the southern edge of the modeled better totals.
  19. Hoosier
    Icy run again, even if you take 1/3 of what it is showing.
  20. Hoosier
    It's a good run for that area verbatim, but I don't like the mid level low track. Would introduce dry slot concerns farther north than shown, imo.
  21. Hoosier
    As RC has said, what is up with the weatherbell Kuchera maps? The pivotal Kuchera maps seem more realistic than those.
  22. Hoosier
    Y'all south of here that are not in the game for this one... I get it. I am going on 3 years since having a 6" storm, which is really bad for my climo, but there's a banter thread to talk about how bad things have been going.
  23. Hoosier
    Anyone make a song about sleet?
  24. Hoosier
    That had less snow though, I think.
  25. Hoosier
    Gotta think it could be pretty paralyzing out in Iowa if there's anything even close to that. A lot of rural areas, blowing and drifting to contend with and don't get amounts like that very often.
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