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Hoosier

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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Hoosier
    I was wondering about amounts around there. Saw that IND just reported a snow depth of 2" but wasn't sure how much actually fell. 0.67" precip so far.
  2. Hoosier
    The 9.8" big dog futility record is about to officially stand for another year.
  3. Hoosier
    Didn't have time to look then. Had seen some LSRs with snow amounts but not liquid equivalent.
  4. Hoosier
    Anecdotally I'd agree that the heavily fgen driven setups seem to drift north in closing time more often than drifting south. Don't know why.
  5. Hoosier
    What are some ratio reports so far? Whatever they are, I would suspect a lowering trend now (especially outside of the primary heavy banding) as temps nudge up. It's snowing here but not really accumulating at this point.
  6. Hoosier
    Would make for an interesting project to see how many times Cincinnati has beaten Chicago in snowfall for a season. Not gonna happen often of course. I'd bet it happened in 2002-03 but maybe not since then. I do think ORD may be able to rally enough to top Cincinnati in the end though. Just a hunch.
  7. Hoosier
    They are hitting on Alek's secondary band idea in the afd. Definitely concerned about ending up in the minima zone here, with heavier amounts south and also somewhat heavier amounts north. Various guidance tries to smooth it over around here via lake contribution, but temps may be a bit too mild by then and result in junk snow. Guess we'll see.
  8. Hoosier
    I like the 6" mark or so for LAF. Maybe a tad more. Would go with the heaviest JUST n/w of Indy, but it's very close and certainly within the realm of possibility that they end up in the heaviest band. But I think I'd rather be out toward Zionsville or Lebanon.
  9. Hoosier
    I wonder what Chad is saying...
  10. Hoosier
    At least temps won't be a mitigating factor where it snows.
  11. Hoosier
    The Cook/Lake IN area has been the most interesting for me as to what your office will decide to do from a headline perspective. There's an added complication for Cook though in that even if rates are decent initially, temps may be just above freezing especially closer to the lake, thus calling into question how bad the road conditions would actually be for the commute.
  12. Hoosier
    Solid observation. Not the best tilting with this system. We've had surface lows way down in southern/eastern Kentucky that produced good snows into the southern metro (2/13/07 is one example). Can probably find even more dramatic examples than that in storms w/a good inverted trough extending well north.
  13. Hoosier
    We're actually pretty similar in thinking.
  14. Hoosier
    It's odd when I'm the more tempered one. At this point, just don't see a compelling case for an advisory for at least the northwest half and more like 2/3 of the LOT cwa. But we'll see if things can trend better across the guidance suite.
  15. Hoosier
    Now post the snow depth map from pivotal.
  16. Hoosier
    I guess it's kind of like that. But from an anomaly perspective, this January is currently way warmer than Feb 1998. Even the mean temps so far this month are running warmer than Feb 1998 in the southern sub (will have to see what they are at month's end), which is impressive given that January is a calendar month earlier than February.
  17. Hoosier
    If I were LOT, I don't know if I'd even bother issuing an advisory in most of the cwa. Total amounts may make it into advisory criteria in some areas, but magnitude of road impacts are questionable overall. And for Chicago metro, precip onset doesn't look to be until around the start of rush hour Wednesday morning, so not like there will be ample opportunity for conditions to go to shit prior to the commute. The best argument for an advisory may be the ridiculous lack of snow so far this winter, lol
  18. Hoosier
    A lot will depend on the weekend system. If that doesn't really pan out, then very few areas would pull it off.
  19. Hoosier
    Given the look over the coming days, we could be on the way to having a pretty freaky January in parts of the sub. It is quite conceivable that some areas will receive near average or even above average snowfall for January, despite it being a top 5 or 10 warmest January. And I'm not talking about just the northern tier, where it's easier to pull off the combination of very mild and snowy. I'm talking about parts of the central and southern sub.
  20. Hoosier
    Reluctant to really go above 3" here due to the temp concerns. I think the lake enhancement could be reaponsible for up to 1" or so, so the areas near the lake around Chicagoland and into northwest IN may come in with somewhat better amounts than areas farther west in LOT.
  21. Hoosier
    Wonder if Michigan may be able to do slightly better with ratios. Progged to be just a touch cooler in most of that state with the exception of the southeast corner. So Josh may struggle a bit more with ratios than the areas nw of there.
  22. Hoosier
    LOT actually mentioned ratios of 10-13:1. I could see that during times of heavier rates/banding, but not sure as an event average (especially that higher end). I'll consider it a win if we end up at 10:1
  23. Hoosier
    Would be nice, but have concerns about garbage snow/inefficient accumulation during Wednesday afternoon. Of course the way around that would be 1) earlier timing for the bulk of the snow or 2) heavier rates during Wednesday afternoon
  24. Hoosier
    This should be a pretty good storm for those areas... relative to their climo.
  25. Hoosier
    Oof
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