Hoosier

That NAM run yesterday was pretty silly.

I wonder if myocarditis has been happening in the United States at a higher than normal rate? While Israel has vaccinated a higher percentage of its people, the actual number of vaccinated people in the US is much higher.

This is a good headline to scare people. But in the story, it says no causal link has been established. Israel Examines Heart Inflammation Cases After Pfizer Shot https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/israel-examines-heart-inflammation-cases-after-pfizer-covid-shot/ar-BB1g46pq

This is a good headline to scare people. But in the story, it says no causal link has been established. Israel Examines Heart Inflammation Cases After Pfizer Shot https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/israel-examines-heart-inflammation-cases-after-pfizer-covid-shot/ar-BB1g46pq

Toasty Tuesday

Was touched on in another thread, but here are the 5 driest meteorological springs for Chicago, from March 1-April 24: 1887: 1.20" 1915: 1.62" 2021: 1.88" 1958: 1.89" 1895: 2.12"

The NAM seems too far south in this situation. I'd be leaning heavily on its position if there were a convective complex to contend with, but we really don't have that. I'd think the other models will be correct, or at least more correct than the NAM.

Tuesday should be fairly solidly into the 80s around here I think. Warm start and 850 mb temps into the teens C with good mixing.

Percent of normal precip in the last 30 days 60 day isn't much better around Chicago

Maybe not, but if it's an unusually large jump, then it would be fair to suspect the effects of the pandemic as being the reason. Hopefully we don't see that.

I think you just triggered a bell for Chi Storm.

Just don't go Dust Bowl on us.

As someone with some experience in suicide attempts (unfortunately), it often takes a long time to get to such a desperate point in life... sometimes many years. There are exceptions of course. I hope the suicide numbers are not really above baseline in the coming years (not that the baseline is something to celebrate), but the jury is out as far as that goes. My position is that the closures were justified early on in the pandemic. We were dealing with a brand new virus, learning as we go and with very limited ability to test, almost flying blind. I think the risk of keeping everything open and then potentially getting a quick, overwhelming surge into the hospitals was too great. I do think some things remained closed for too long, especially in certain states.

Almost without exception, the people I know who aren't getting vaxxed aren't living in fear at all. They have been out there living life for the past year and would just as soon have the mask mandates end. They may be afraid of the vaccine but they aren't too concerned about covid.

Yeah, but Michigan only had 3 tornadoes in total in 2020. Womp womp

I think criticism is fair in this case. Her father had been vaccinated, but Whitmer herself did not receive a first dose until April 6. There have been too many hypocritical instances of politicians preaching one thing and then doing another in the past year.

Seeing the early signs of a plateau and possibly a dip in vaccinations. Not unexpected but was hoping this trend wouldn't have started for at least a few more weeks.

The Drought Monitor has been around since 2000. Since then, the record high is in July 2012. At one point, 80% of the US was in D0+ with about 64% in D1+

Yeah, 2012 really didn't take off until very late spring. Then it accelerated rapidly. I thought 2012 was farther along at this point as well.

It's a little confusing and I'm not sure I figured it out, but maybe. I think the average on the state dashboard is going by who actually died more recently (in the last 7 days and not before). But many times, some deaths that are reported each day go back weeks or even months. The worldometers 7 day average of 9 deaths may explain this. If you look at 4/20 for example, the state dashboard lists 2 deaths as you showed, but worldometers reported 8 deaths. So perhaps 6 of those deaths go back farther in time?

Didn't even think to check it today lol

Where are you getting 4? I am seeing 9. Either way, a heck of a lot better than before.

Here's something remarkable. Illinois hasn't had an EF2 or greater tornado since 12/1/2018. On average, Illinois gets maybe 7 or 8 tornadoes of such strength per year. I have a feeling that streak is going to end this year.

February 2003 in Illinois. Maybe GHD 2011 as well but I'm not sure if the thunder and winds were reasonably in sync.

Needs an advisory