Hoosier

Here it is 2021 is on track to become the 3rd time for Chicago that each of the first 5 months of the year has less than 2" of precip. The other 2 times it happened were 1989, and some year called 1934. Fwiw, June 1934 had 2.24" and June 1989 squeaked by at 2.01", so Chicago has never had a year when the first 6 months each had less than 2". Something to watch I guess. 2021: J: 1.95" , F: 1.25" , M: 1.25" , A: 0.71" , M: 1.79" (through 8 pm CDT 5/28) 1989: J: 0.82" , F: 0.77" , M: 1.67" , A: 1.37" , M: 1.59" 1934: J: 0.84" , F: 0.52" , M: 1.21" , A: 1.32" , M: 0.67"

Rain has ended at ORD. It appears like it will officially be the 3rd driest meteorological Spring on record for Chicago, as there is still a little wiggle room in the event of an unanticipated spit of rain in the next few days. 1) 2.73" - 1887 2) 3.20" - 1934 3) 3.75" - 2021 (through 8 pm CDT 5/28) 4) 3.87" - 1994 5) 4.08" - 1886

ORD is considerably nw of downtown though.

ORD has missed out on the heaviest rains today. Since I posted this morning, there has been an additional 0.25", which means that up to another 0.15" can fall and it would still be in 3rd place. Given the current radar, I like the chances of ORD not receiving more than 0.15" additional rain, but we'll see.

Currently finalizing my analog list... just have to consult with Chad.

I'm gonna disagree with that for most of the sub. If anybody comes in cooler than average, I'd favor it in the southern part.

Did Beavis just complain about cold? Heavens to Betsy.

Good point. I had no clue about his health issues, so that's why I said typical timeline for eligibility for someone that age.

Well, yeah, but I think it's a fair thing to wonder about. I wondered about it too. I laid out why it seems unlikely for James to have been fully vaccinated by the time he got sick, even if he had rushed out and got it (exception may be the 1 dose J&J, but the vast majority of vaccines being given in this country are Pfizer or Moderna).

He was last active here on April 29. The question is whether he stopped being active here because he was already very sick at that point, or is it some other reason? Let's say it's because he was already very sick. Given the typical timeline of vaccine eligibility for someone his age, it is unlikely that he would've been fully vaccinated by late April. Odds are he was not vaccinated at all or only had partial protection.

Nice warm signal in the extended.

Not a lot of rain at ORD with the current system... only 0.24" so far. Today is likely the last chance of rain this month. If 0.40" or less additional rain occurs, then the 2021 met Spring will have sole possession of 3rd driest on record.

Might as well pile on Even the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast has done better than most of the Lakes/OV area

You guys inspired me to look this up. There have been no confirmed tornadoes in Indiana so far this year. We are threatening to make it through May without one, which has only happened 4 times -- 1950 (when tornado records were still sketchy), 1984, 2005 and 2010.

A well-known poster in the SNE subforum passed away from covid. Young guy only in his 30s and his mom is really sick with it too.

That is less than today's number in IN, and our Spring surge was nothing like yours. The benchmark number I have in my head is 200... can we get the daily average in Indiana under that number. I think it wouldn't be until well into July or maybe August if it does happen.

That's pretty good for like 8 months of being in school. Some questions... Were all the kids in-person 5 days a week? Were kids required to wear masks during the extracurricular activities? Was there routine testing of everyone, or just get tested if you felt sick or had been exposed to someone with covid?

How far south can it snow?

Would be very impressive to see temps like this at peak heating.

The community has been balkanized in some ways with the advent of subforums, but James was one of those people who stood out to someone like me who only pops in here on occasion. His extreme passion for weather was readily apparent. It is terribly sad to lose anyone at such a young age. My thoughts and prayers are with his family and friends.

Funny enough, the runs earlier in the day were better. It did pretty bad from about 23z on.

The NAM tanks temps pretty good on Friday night as well.

Overall, guidance was pretty poor on QPF/placement last night. I'm not sure anything had as much precip as what fell in Chicago, and some models were like 0.10" or less. In my experience you can get bigger QPF errors as you get into the warm seasons.

Lame. You want to end these things in grand fashion. I am sitting on a particular futility stat that I hope I get to post in the coming days. It will take some underperformance with the next system though.

Nice dodgeball act at ORD... only a T so far tonight.