Hoosier

Still think there's a reasonable possibility of accumulations somewhere.

Would've been perfect to have DOOM write this, but I'll take RC. As longwave trough remains established into Sunday over northeastern North America, the guidance continues to hint at another low amplitude albeit stout short-wave scooting in on northwest flow Saturday night into Sunday. While it will take some time to hone in on specifics with this, air mass aloft will be cold enough to potentially support accumulating snow depending on the track/strength of the clipper- like system. For now, broad-brushed chance PoPs and snow/rain mention are reasonable. Castro

The relatively chilly lead-in is certainly not a bad thing to have to help with accumulation efficiency.

First we'll have the late week system, but that's primarily a rainer for most of the sub with some flakes on the backside. In the wake of that system, additional energy will move in from the Pacific this weekend and looks to set up the potential for some accumulating snow in a good chunk of the region. It's still a bit far out, but given that it could be the first real potential snow of the season for many, I think it warrants a thread at this point. Discuss away.

I think we see flakes at the end of the week. Looks like a decent shot at it.

Yeah, they were an off color. I just call them all ladybugs.

Was at Starved Rock this weekend. Saw some nice fall color, but then there were areas that looked more like this. Also got mobbed by ladybugs.

ORD had its first freeze, with a low of 32. Got down to 29 here.

I haven't looked at the maps in detail from back then, but I wonder if something of the magnitude of the Halloween blizzard would've happened had it not been for the perfect storm out east. It's possible that it had some influence on the track/speed of the blizzard.

Maybe it won't be as torchy as October

October will finish as a top 10 warmest month for Chicago. In fact, August, September and October will each rank in the top 10 warmest, so that's 3 months in a row. June was also a top 10 warmest month.

That's awesome.

It looks like there's going to be a reservoir of cool/cold air around, so it's really going to come down to the details on system evolution as to whether something can come from it. There have been a number of out of season snows in the past several years (both early and late). Certainly would be foolish to discount the possibility.

Preliminary EF2 and EF3 tornadoes from LSX https://www.weather.gov/lsx/October242021Tornadoes

Crib gusted to 61 mph.

Probably wouldn't have had nearly as much of that a month or two from now. It makes a difference having so many leaves still on the trees.

What awful weather.

It was actually colder here this morning compared to yesterday. Got down to 34, which was significantly cooler than forecast.

Bit of a northward expansion on the day 2 outlook.

ENSO factors in very heavily to their outlooks. I also heard directly from Dr. Uccellini at one of the conferences that long term warming factors into the outlooks, which is why you typically won't see a ton of blues on the seasonal outlooks. This is even more true once you get out to the 6-12 month outlooks. You'll basically never see any blue anywhere on those.

JB was tolerable like 20 years ago... before social media and he didn't really get into CC discussion back then. And his columns were free.

Your map was fine imo. It was in response to another post and it's not like you are flooding the thread with them.

I'm not so sure about that.

Nice little focused/clustered October severe day

Congrats