MUWX
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Everything posted by MUWX
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These 0z runs should be the first runs with it being fully sampled, correct?
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Highly uncertain forecast down that way. Boom or bust potential, more so down there than anywhere else.
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Tulsa may have just issued the smallest winter storm watch in NWS history.
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Well it certainly isn’t good
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Well… that was fun while it lasted.
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Nam isn’t pretty but it’s not a total disaster. Dare I say…. It’s pretty close to what SGF has been calling for.
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I might have jinxed the entire area by saying that SGF should mention the possibility of higher impacts.
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I cant blame them, but I think they would be well served to mention the possibility of higher impacts.
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Springfield definitely is not buying into the higher amounts.
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One thing that may be working in our favor is that there was a recon mission off the west coast yesterday afternoon for research purposes and that data has been incorporated into the GFS at least. I know that data was included in last nights GFS.
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Fairly substantial change from 12z. A step toward the GFS, it seems.
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Seems like it was setting up to be a big hit for southwest mo…. Not that extrapolating the nam ever ends poorly.
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Springfield is starting to buy in on the threat it appears, prepare for it to start trending in the wrong direction now.
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Euro, NAM and Canadian are showing some light snow for SWMO later this week. Not much but better than nothing.
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Models typically under do the cold air. Trend could continue but I am not sure we get much snow out of it regardless. Cold air is going to be fairly shallow for a while.
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Southwest Missouri would get screwed per the 18z GFS, probably means it’s locked in.
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December 15th-16th Warmth, Wind, and Severe Threat
MUWX replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Do not love the look of that super cell headed in the general direction of KC -
Storm to the southwest is starting to take off (or has been cranking and I’ve been too focused on the other one). Headed in the general direction of Clarksville and inflow looks to be unimpeded
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Seems like it’s either cycling or the other storms to the south are having a destructive impact on the storm.
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Starting to get some storms going up to the south, those could cause some issues for this thing
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Tornado warning now extends 55 miles in front of the tornado.
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this is from one of the smaller debris balls tonight, up in St. Louis, I believe this is the same storm as edwardsville but at least one cycle before. Tomorrow is going to be insane for damage pics.
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Tornado going through northern Paducah… because of course it is. What a day.
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Likely going to hit the Princeton airport. Debris ball may go crazy again momentarily.
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Seems as though KPAH may be offline. Not ideal.
