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MUWX

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Everything posted by MUWX

  1. I think the system that models were showing on the 28th are now showing for the 2nd. Timing differences. I don't know that but it seems possible
  2. Light snow falling in Columbia, hoping it picks up but radar is no use. In the month that I was away, I forgot how bad the radar hole is here, and for areas north and east of here.
  3. Freezing fog is one of my favorite things. It's really freezing in elevated surfaces here, roads look wet, but I bet they are going to be slick.
  4. Maybe I'm just optimistic but I think this is the most interesting pattern we've had in at least a couple weeks.
  5. Areas north of here haven't had any fun either. Kc hasn't has a 3 inch storm in almost 4 years, if I remember correctly.
  6. I'm well aware of the drought. It's been roughly 1040 days since sgf issued a wsw. However, I still think we get a two inch snow
  7. The cmc has been saying this for at least a couple runs now but mainly over south central Missouri
  8. The pattern that gave us an inch and a half in the first 2 weeks of winter? Haha not sure what you got where your at, but it's snowed here. We have 2+ months left where we can get big storms, let's see what happens. If we don't get another half inch in all of January, February and March, that might be historic.
  9. I would be absolutely shocked if we go 3 straight winters with less than two inches of snow. No way we go the rest of winter with less than a half inch
  10. Gfs went north that run. Euro was either warmer or further north also. I didn't look at it that close, but several of the emsembles had a crazy storm, and a few had snow in swmo. It's a long ways out, but it's certainly starting to feel like this is the plains best chance at a storm so far this season
  11. Gfs had something in this time frame also, especially on the 06 run, this run is warm. Out of the three, I think the gfs has been the least consistent
  12. The euro had cold air next week, I didn't see if it had a storm though.
  13. I think there is definitely truth to the recurring pattern, but I don't think it can be used to make exact forecasts weeks in advance like he is trying to do.
  14. The Canadian is the only one showing this, correct? Every other model seems much less bullish to me.
  15. I think for about the past week, the gfs has performed pretty well. I don't know the model scores but the gfs has been doing decent it seems.
  16. I'd love to cash in, but man, the models seem to be drying up big time. I haven't looked at it super close but I'm not seeing much that gets my attention. Granted, a week out a lot can change.
  17. Seeing some reports of thunder snow in the Tulsa metro area. Monett is getting sleet now. Pretty heavy and big in size
  18. The first round is winding down here in Monett. Tried to change to change over to sleet at the end but it never could fully get it done. Our deck is starting to ice over with the rails solid ice. Now that the rain has ended, I ventured out to the yard, and was fairly surprised. The trees are pretty weighted down, a lot more ice accumulated than I thought. Nothing major, but the cedar trees are touching the ground. If this last band puts down some heavy wet snow, the trees are really going to be weighed down.
  19. Starting to give up hope that this is ever going to transition in Monett. Moderate "freezing" rain has been occurring for hours, but only a few slick spots on elevated surfaces.
  20. NWS is buying the HRRR and holding the snow off until way after midnight. Sounds about right, never easy to get snow here.
  21. Sgf pulled the trigger on a WWA and went with ~3 inches along the I44 corridor. Seems like a good bet to me, most models seem to be locking in on that solution. We still need to watch temps and see if they fall faster than anticipated. Monett has been locked in at 34 for quite some time now. Airport dropped to 32 earlier, but I'm not sure they was accurate
  22. 34 in Monett, seems models might be a little too warm but I'm not positive.
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