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MUWX

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Everything posted by MUWX

  1. MUWX
    9 years ago today most of us were under a blizzard warning. I wish we had a time machine!
  2. MUWX
    Did you see that on the NWS home page? If so, its a glitch. As far as I know, there was never an advisory for your area.
  3. MUWX
    Most short range models are running 3-4 degrees too warm this morning in SWMO.
  4. MUWX
    I really dont know why I pay attention to winter weather anymore. Severe weather around here is way more interesting than it used to be, and winter weather is a lot less interesting than it used to be.
  5. MUWX
    The GFS not being on board should be a huge red flag. It has been great with systems around here recently.
  6. MUWX
    Pretty doubtful this thing over performs, more likely be on the low side of that advisory.
  7. MUWX
    Some places down in south central Missouri are getting a pretty good hit this morning. Seems to be over performing down that way.
  8. MUWX
    Not much. Had some snow/early. Roads slick for a bit but not much accumulation
  9. MUWX
    SGF basically giving up on this first part of the event, but seems like they are getting more bullish on something tomorrow night. Hopefully the afternoon AFD sheds more light on their thinking.
  10. MUWX
    The WWA advisory i saw stated up to an inch for that area, but doesn't really matter. They weren't calling for much, and no one got much lol
  11. MUWX
    Yeah, Canadian also has it, but temps are warmer so it falls as rain. Worth watching for sure.
  12. MUWX
    That doesn't really sound like a busted forecast to me. Wasn't advisory for up to an inch?
  13. MUWX
    When I headed into work, that band was weakening as it moved east, but must have re-intensified as it moved into the springfield metro. I-44 is closed down in a couple spots due to accidents, and there are numerous other accidents around town.
  14. MUWX
    If the HRRR is right, SGF is going to look down right foolish tomorrow. Advisory starts at noon... HRRR has temps into the 40s by then
  15. MUWX
    Another incredibly challenging forecast. Glad I don't have to make any calls on this one. SGF called for a high of 36, only 33 currently. Has a little bit of time left to warm up, but a degree or two could make all the difference on this event so something to watch, in the short term.
  16. MUWX
    Don't do it. We know how this ends.... lol
  17. MUWX
    Can't wait for another near miss!
  18. MUWX
    SGF now mentioning the possibility of Ice Storm Warnings in the AFD
  19. MUWX
    Still showing only moderate confidence too. For being just hours from the event, it seems like they are just guessing.
  20. MUWX
    At this point the NAM is obviously high, but I think SGF is a little low.
  21. MUWX
    There is little to no chance, that the NAM or canadian are correct. The question is will we find ourselves somewhere between those two and the GFS/euro. I think the right call is to side with the latter, but I wouldn't totally discount a slightly more significant event yet.
  22. MUWX
    Which the nam is off the charts compated to other models. It would have to be insanely wrong to get down to the amounts that SGF is forecasting though.
  23. MUWX
    AFD leads me to believe they are going to go with an Advisory
  24. MUWX
    Winter weather advisory's and Winter Storm watches going up now. I'll be interested to see what SGF issues.
  25. MUWX
    The NAM continues to trend colder at the surface, in the springfield area, it has a decent amount of precip falling in the 28/29 degree range, which would lead to a greater amount of accretion
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