MUWX
-
Posts
1,241 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by MUWX
-
We may have dueling long track tornadoes in southern miss. Hattiesburg is not out of the woods yet.
-
Bassfield could be is trouble. Luckily it’s small
-
McComb certainly looks like it’s on the ground. May be big
-
The McComb storm appears to be reorganizing at the moment. This could be a big one shortly.
-
They had to keep it moderate imo. If they let that up, and word gets around to people who don’t pay attention, they will let their guard down. When in reality we could be moving into a very Dangerous/deadly Tornado event with a prolific nighttime tornado event.
-
It isn’t a 95% all hazard watch though
-
Could spacing be a limiting factor with those?
-
What’s crazy about that run of the HRRR is, is that as bad as it looks, it’s likely not the ceiling.
-
Yeah, that’s really the only option. There is very little argument to be made for a day 1 high at this point. It could change later, but I just don’t see it right now.
-
Storms continue to struggle to develop a well defined circulation despite pretty decent look on reflectivity
-
This thing could be trouble for San Antonio in a couple hours
-
Not sure what the issue is, but something is really causing these storms to struggle to spin today.
-
The storm north of Abilene certainly has the look
-
Mentioned increasing wind probs. But unless they hatch, it won’t be a wind driven high risk.
-
They seem to be running a little late with the update
-
I don’t see any reason that there would be many differences from the prior update.
-
Not sure, just saying that it’s a size able step back from a large 90% to and very small 75%.
-
It was showing a large 90% area. Now barely a 75%
-
Pretty big step back isn’t it?
-
Goes back to what the Birmingham NWS Met posted earlier as well.
-
High ceiling event, but there are several reasons that it could bust
-
Fair enough, but if we are only going to base forecasting off of things that have been scientifically proven, we aren't going to get super far. I think there is reason to potentially discount the NAM in the short term, based on what the Met who knows the model and the area has to say about it. Doesnt necessarily mean it is wrong, but until other models back it up, that gives me some reason to doubt it.
-
People trying to find every reason to talk down a risk.
-
The opposite can also be true.
-
I mean, that may be true, but its a NWS Met in the target area basically saying to discount it.
