MUWX
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Is it possible to block someone on this site?
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A high risk for Chicago would undoubtedly grab headlines. PDS watch is obviously needed and helps convey the significance of the threat, but this is literally the reason a high risk is a thing. Obviously they could upgrade at 2000z, but a special update is warranted imo.
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Why hasn’t this gone high risk? What a monster.
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The corn damage from this is going to be incredible. This could be an insanely costly storm for the upper Midwest.
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Storm west of Little Rock is starting to rotate
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The fact that the Seneca storm isn’t Producing, tells you all you need to know about today. It starts with a B
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Rotation is pretty weak/non existent
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I would watch the storm near Miami. It is already rotating and may interact with an OFB in sw mo
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The WF continues to push NE, correct?
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Far from impressive
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Latest risk area was cut back quite a bit in SWMO. Right on cue we are seeing some clearing in far SWMO. If this clearing line can continue to move east/north east, swmo may still have a shot
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While cloudiness is an issue in SWMO today, there is a pretty decent OFB pushing south of SGF currently. That may come into play later.
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That doesnt necessarily mean at 10% hatched risk will be realized. SWMO makes up roughly half of the 10% area, and remains locked in clouds.
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The springfield Metro area continues to be socked in clouds. Unless that changes in the next hour or so, I dont see what of a tornado threat here. Further west, and southwest, it could be a different story. Temps in the Upper 50's, dews in the mid 50's, i just dont see how it happens here unless something drastically changes soon.
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If this morning is any indication, we could have some massive hail later today.
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Haven’t looked at tomorrow in depth yet, but today definitely over performers in SWMO. Hoping the same doesn’t happen tomorrow, may 4 has enough tornado history around these parts.
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I live within the MD. The worst seems to have gone just north of me. Winds on the leading edge were decent probably in the 40-60 range, but the back side was just as strong, if not stronger.
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Moderate risk is substantially bigger this update.
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I think we see an expansion of the 30% hatched hail, and a 45% hatched wind added for Oklahoma/Arkansas/north Texas. I’m surprised there isn’t more talk about this event
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Three for warned cells stacked on top of each other
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Wouldn’t the OFB be somewhere in the gulf?
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The storm near lake Charles certainly looks interesting
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The chances of the warm sector over the SE staying clear, are pretty slim. Most models have a MCS/QLCS wiping the warm sector out.
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KHOU reporting two deaths in Polk County from this storm.
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I am very interested to see how many tornadoes come out of today. This storm alone may have produced 15
