MUWX
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Everything posted by MUWX
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NHC now forecasting this to become a 5 by tomorrow morning
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Old takes exposed
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I don’t think we can definitively say it’s even a cat 5 at this point.
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Ill go 921, and 160 MPH
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Sounds like we will have several straight hours of recon this evening/overnight. Two planes currently expected to go in over night, counting the one on the way now.
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Chances seems substantially higher than 0% now. The issues with recon this year are beyond frustrating.
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There’s substantial evidence that the eye has cooled over the past couple of hours
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Tomer, who is frequently linked here from twitter and is well respected, also agrees that it may be past its peak so it’s not exactly a hot take that it has come down somewhat from where it was.
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Seems likely that we missed peak intensity. Will still be interesting to see what recon shows but disappointing that we may never know the true extent of the rapid deepening.
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Canadian sees the potential for the first time, has an extended period of sleet and freezing rain. It’s looks like the freezing rain could be falling into an airmass that’s in the mid to upper 20s, which would definitely accrete. GFS continues to show the potential after the 18z GFS backed off. We shall see what the Euro shows in a few hours
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It also looked fairly Icy. An Ice storm with leaves still on the trees would not be ideal.
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First fantasy range major snow storm on the GFS, that I’ve seen.
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Welcome! Hopefully you can change our fortunes!
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I’ve been wondering when this thread would get started. It is crazy dry right now around here. In terms of winter.... I am ready to be disappointed again.
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Eye is a decent amount smaller than it was earlier today.
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Seems a lot of chasers spent a ton of money on last minute tickets to chase a cat 1 at best
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Pretty decent uptick in lightning on the SW side. Eye seems slightly more apparent on visible as the sun sets.... *ducks*
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Its actually achieved rapid deepening
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Eye wall open and elliptical. Not all systems go yet
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Future Tropical Storm Gyro Banter
MUWX replied to the ghost of leroy's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Can’t be a serious poster here if you don’t know the Greek alphabet. -
Some very impressive RI probs on the latest ships guidance
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Thread was much more enjoyable while the turtle was in its shell.
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Came here to post this. That person is almost as bad as Idub
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Certainly looks like TD 14 is starting to get its act together.
