MUWX

Yep, 2013.

Yep. I lived in Monett until I went to college, now we live in republic.

Yeah, roughly 10 miles south west. Its really hard to say how much we have. The grass is just now getting covered, so maybe around 2". Moderate snow currently falling.

If you ask me, we are performing well in spite of the synoptic set up.

To be fair, the storm is at worst half over. If the NAM and some other high res models are correct, its really only 1/3 over.

Jeff Piotrowski is live on twitter, sounds like there are some really nasty wrecks on I-44 in OKC. He is on the scene of the truck fire that I think was mentioned in this thread, but it sounds like there is also a different incident on going on I-44 as well. He described it as a large chain reaction wreck. Multiple 18 wheelers. Hopefully this is nothing like Dallas.

Regardless of what is going on with surrounding forecast areas, I think the current SGF forecast warrants an upgrade. I would guess people under the band from Joplin towards Columbia end up with several areas over 6”.

It’s just a vastly different forecast than surrounding offices. I don’t see how places in SE Kansas who already have ~3” on the ground and as of 1, ICT was calling for an additional 5-8”, yet here, were only supposed to get 4-6” total? Maybe SGF is right with their forecast, but I still think it warrants an upgrade. I don’t think it’s a set rule that under certain circumstances you can’t upgrade for less than 6”. Given temps, wind chill, blowing snow, and at a minimum 4-6” totals, I don’t see any justification for not upgrading.

SGF is just trolling us at this point. The warnings now extend well north of us to the east and west, but SGF appears to not be willing to give in.

Rates are going to have to pick up for sure. Been snowing for about two hours, and the grass isn’t much more covered than it was three hours ago.

Come on SGF!!

Wasn’t necessarily saying mike went to OU, just saying that I would think a news station in the OKC metro could do better with Ou being there.

I still don’t know how mike Morgan has a job in the OKC market. So many good mets coming out of OU, one would think they could do better than Morgan. He’s incredibly entertaining to listen to, but he’s a hype machine.

Local news just showed a model showing Springfield getting close to 9, I could make that work

Yes. Different criteria. SW Mo requires 6+, Arkansas requires 4.

Also mention that the ozarks could remain dry during the second storm.

The HRRR continues to trend towards less QPF, and is relying on SLRs of nearly 20:1. Seems unlikely.

Kind of looks like there could be a fairly narrow band of heavier snow in SWMO. Not sure we will know where its going to set up, until it sets up. With that said, I hope the GFS is right, and that Kuchera is close to accurate.

The key for many of us is getting incredible snow ratios. SGF certainly poured cold water on the idea of getting SLRs of 20:1 or more, but I’m not sure how easy something like that is to forecast.

Tulsa could end up looking pretty bad for issuing the warning so far in advanced.

The trend is not good, and were still two days out. It could reverse course, but if the trend continues, its not looking good for anything of significance.

You are setting yourself up to be taught a very important lesson. Big storms no longer happen here.

We are on step 10, praying that step 8 happens in the next 18-24 hours. lol

Doug heady out with his latest and has reduced totals as well. Lucy is certainly here.

I have seen some chatter on twitter that there isnt nearly as much ascent within the DGZ as was previously expected, so the ratios likely will not be off the charts, like we were all hoping. Additionally, any reduction in QPF is amplified when you are relying on high SLRs to get big totals. Unfortunately, we are trending in the wrong direction on both items.