eyewall

Yeah they must not be buying it. I am waiting to see the reasoning. I am waiting on their AFD to update for that time period.

NWS Raleigh has removed any mention of snow for the Raleigh zones now.

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...A portion of central North Carolina, including the following counties, Alamance, Anson, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham, Edgecombe, Forsyth, Franklin, Granville, Guilford, Halifax, Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Lee, Montgomery, Moore, Nash, Orange, Person, Randolph, Richmond, Sampson, Scotland, Stanly, Vance, Wake, Warren, Wayne and Wilson. * WHEN...From Midnight EST tonight through Monday morning. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers and thunderstorms will overspread the central North Carolina late this evening and overnight, as an area of low pressure and cold front cross the region. A widespread two to three inches of rain are expected through Monday. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

RDU zones down to little or none as opposed to less then 1/2. Not that this makes a big difference.

Congrats Virginia!

I would probably go with Banner Elk. I wish I could come up.

yeah I just wish I could move back to Vermont.

Yeah I just wanted to be able to get some good shots but it wasn't meant to be. We will see on the token flakes.

Eh, it will end up trending north

There is definitely some heartbreak being felt today after the northward trend. With this winter the way it is I am not sure what other chances there will be.

This is now a mountains/VA storm. Sorry folks nothing to see here. We may see a few token flakes but nothing is going to stick in central NC with these soil temps.

This is now a mountains and VA event. Even we do see some wet flakes it won't stick with soil temps in the 60's.

It shifted north

It shifted quite a bit north

Everyone to the sanitarium

RIP /thread

LOL do they not realize the soil temps are in the 60's?

One thing we will have is a big soil temp issue in regard to any accumulation. That will cut those model numbers down a lot. We would need some solid rates to overcome that.

Euro:

12z GFS:

Looks like one has a radio collar of some kind. These are Elk I assume?

This looks like a tor setup for early next week:

This is definitely the year we zero out for sure on snow. I am just not looking forward to freaking mosquitoes being out for New Years.

Yep it is a pretty solid bet for now. It's a bloodbath.

Hopefully next winter will work out.