eyewall

The mean has 1-2 inches across NC

12Z GFES ENS members:

Yeah basically. We need that energy to dive in farther WSW as when it finally comes in toward Fri it is too late unless you are halfway to the Azores.

Yep basically back to square one at that point.

I know I am just expressing frustration. Anyway if you want a little more it is obviously a very suppressed run with the strong high nosing south and confluence in the upper levels. There just isn't the amplification to unleash a power house low nor the strong shortwave energy. Your looking at some weak disturbances feeding off strong out vorticity to the south of the confluence that would result in a weak "southern slider". That is what this run shows. Is it a hair better, I suppose, but nowhere close to anything substantial on 12z op run. Additional note: There is a better looking vort max that tries to makes it way into the picture on Fri but it would spawn a low too far off to the east well off shore.

Well it was fun while it lasted.

Most depressing winter in history to be sure. It is almost impossible to get a win in this pattern. The 2/8 event was a lottery win for those who lucked out.

Typically the area on a sounding where the temp is between -10C and -20C. You want to see if that region is saturated or not. This is the temp range for optimal snow growth and the microphysics involved in that.

Yeah true. The point is if anything actually materializes I plan on being there for it.

I will be headed down I-40 if anything remotely close to that is actually expected to verify.

If there was a '93 redux this entire board will fill a hotel in Boone ;).

No way to know but the bugs will be awful.

Yeah it is going to take a lot of time for the sting to wear off. The prospect of the summer ahead doesn't help.

Apparently NWS Raleigh is now on board with RDU getting blanked for the season according to NPR.

I miss Smuggs very much! Glad you had a good run up there!

That is a triple bunner:

Baghdad now has more snow than RDU this season.

Congrats Baghdad: https://www.wral.com/iraqis-wake-up-to-snow-for-first-time-in-over-a-decade/18945640/

the next severe event in NC

It is over. Time for severe season

I have to laugh at myself for the times I complained up there. North GA got a hit yesterday and here we are still sitting on a trace for the season (which even here is abysmal). This actually ranks as the worst winter I have ever been through. Anywhere south of you guys and the pattern is a complete disaster. I am enjoying all the pics in this thread wishing I was on the slopes again.

Great shot!

Exactly. We remain at a trace here.

It really has been the most depressing winter here I can remember. This event was one more gut punch.

Still sitting on a trace at RDU.