eyewall

I found a backup room in Mountain View Arkansas at a normal price as a backup to TX so we shall see.

yeah I am supposed to go to Texas for it. I am definitely nervous.

Still not looking great now for much of the path:

This morning as the sun came up in Raleigh. Unfortunately I didn't get lucky enough to catch any of the lightning.

I can tell you the worst traffic will occur right after totality ends. Nobody waits out the partial phases after unless they are a photographer or something like that. That was my experience in 2017. Getting there wasn't as bad.

Beautiful hit up there! Mid March always seemed to deliver! So glad I was up there for this 7 years ago.

Brian McNoldy - Unbelievable: the North Atlantic sea... | Facebook 4.5 Standard Deviations above normal for water temps in the North Atlantic. That is essentially unprecedented and certainly a factor in our SER.

Here is more on the super warm Atlantic:

We got this!

Is being below freezing this morning the pattern change?

DT is getting roasted online after saying the apps were wrong about an inch or 2. Oops.

That was one of the worst heartbreakers for sure.

You are spot on with that!

I believe being blanked two winters in a row would be a first for Raleigh.

Yeah that storm had an inland track. I was on Long Island and we had 8 inches of snow followed by heavy rain. There was a flash freeze behind it which turned any remaining snow into a block of ice. Birmingham Alabama had twice the amount of snow we did from that one.

Raleigh is on pace to join the 1000 day club in October 2024 since the last snowfall.

Getting blanked 2 years in a row is just freaking awful. Raleigh will reach the 1000 day mark sometime in October and I believe 1044 days by the time the next meteorological winter begins.

Yeah at this point Raleigh has the climate of far southern Georgia so who knows.

Remember the advertised pattern shift? Well this is where we are at instead: Thursday Sunny, with a high near 65. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Friday Partly sunny, with a high near 62. Northwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Friday Night A slight chance of rain after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southeast wind 5 to 13 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 55.

I would do that on the 50 yard line right now if it would work.

Considering NWS RAH is more concerned with fire weather during this time I am not impressed. It seems like this may end up more of a Virginia event.

Yep the advertised change has all but evaporated. Don't worry we'll get in time for weeks of cold rain in April.

Hopefully you will luck out. No way to know for sure now of course.

Yeah it is close in that 2/18 timeframe. We shall see.

Not 100% sure but based purely on climo.