eyewall

Looks like we will end with about 2 inches on the colder surfaces in Raleigh. Pics tomorrow. I love that I was wrong in my prediction.

Looks like it is winding down in Raleigh. We will come in on the low end of the range.

By oakwood

Probably passing an inch here in Raleigh.

First 0.1" down in Raleigh. Snowing quite hard now.

Back to mostly snow here in the Mordecai area of Raleigh

Rain now in Raleigh

First flakes in Raleigh at 1:55pm where I am. Mixed with IP.

Starting off with frozen precip is a solid beginning.

As I post that a mix of IP/SN is falling by hillsborough and the beltline

RAH is talking about a cut back: Very few if any changes this morning. Looks like a later start to the snow across the north as the precipitation has not quite filled in across the north this morning. The longer these areas remain precipitation free, the more temperatures will be allowed to rise and the lower chances for significant snowfall amounts. Generally, expect snow accumulation to largely hold off until after 4 PM this afternoon, with increasing chances for snow through the evening and early overnight. However, there is still a good bit of uncertainty with respect to amounts.

Yeah we will see if it can eek its way in soon. I know there have been epic virga busts in Raleigh before.

Starting to have concerns about dry air for RDU

so far QPF doesn't appear to be an issue. We just have to watch those temps.

6z 3km NAM (10:1). Kuchera is slightly higher but not by much.

This is the pre-event panic phase for most. Time to just wait and see.

My final call:

Sleet reported in Garner as well.

I have seen sleet in the 40's plenty of times.

There have been a few sleet reports north of Raleigh already today as an FYI.

I never said it was a final call but yeah the sleet concern is always a real one in central NC.

My latest call map (risky knowing bust potential is high):

My rough call:

NWS Raleigh is not very enthused and is mainly east of 95 with it.

It is pretty much holding for the time being.