eyewall

that is pretty much all but one frame

Euro

What a screw job

Another blockbuster run but I of course I do not expect this to hold.

Keep in mind the snow and ice from the last storm certainly laid a good foundation for the next cold air mass.

I was told at the shop there is no law in VA to clear your car but yeah everyone should do it anyway.

This was on I-95 so that was another incident for sure.

Thank you and yep about to go to the dealer for when they open.

The Euro AI (Kuchera not available for this one):

No I don't think so either lol

I would like to say lock this in here before it heads up to New England:

I appreciate it everyone. I just can't wait to get back home at this point.

NAM (North American Mesoscale Forecast System - 12km) NAMNest (NAM 3km high resolution nest) GFS (Global Forecast System) GEFS (Global Ensemble Forecast System) GDPS (CMC - Environment Canada Global Deterministic – PoP12/QPF06 only) GEPS (CMCE - Environment Canada Global Ensemble) EKDMOS (Ensemble Kernel Density Model Output Statistics) Gridded GFS MOS (GMOS or MOSGuide) HRRR (High Resolution Rapid Refresh), CONUS only RAP (Rapid Refresh). (Also RAP Alaska) Gridded LAMP (GLMP Localized Aviation MOS Product), CONUS only HiResWindow ARW NCEP (High-Resolution Window Forecast System (HIRESW)) HiResWindow NMMB NCEP (High-Resolution Window Forecast System (HIRESW)) SREF (Short Range Ensemble Forecast) CONUS, Alaska, Puerto Rico sectors NAVGEME (Navy FNMOC Global Ensemble) The Euro is also in there

18z GFS is a whiff here:

It had South Carolina plates so that explains a lot.

Yeah it didn't cave in but a full 2ft wide spiderweb

Well we didn't get back to Raleigh as planned as shortly into the trip a piece of ice on I-95 flew off someone's car and right into my windshield smashing it. Nobody could help me today because nobody showed up for work anywhere so I am stuck here until tomorrow to get it fixed and hopefully get home eventually.

Smoking cirrus in Raleigh on the 18z GFS.

The setup is classic Miller A for this one with a more east based airmass to work with so I think the Miller B risk is low.

GFS is a very slight tick west but not really indicative of anything yet. It is also a bit more intense this run.

It was a fun storm to experience for sure. Time for me to head back to Raleigh. Hopefully we get one solid snow there before the season ends so I don't have to go anywhere lol.

Way too early for this. First call: High shear low cape thunderstorm event

WRAL busted hard in this event. They definitely pretty much took the Euro's ice totals verbatim when they initially called for up to an inch of ice. They are a shell of their former selves.