eyewall
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Everything posted by eyewall
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This 30's and rain crap is getting old fast. I feel like we have blown a few opportunities already.
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Bet on the severe but not the snow for the NC Piedmont. This is a classic cold chasing the moisture scenario and 90% of the time that is a losing proposition. I want snow just as bad as anyone but it is not in the cards.
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Those totals in southern VT are unbelievable. I can't imagine seeing an additional 10-15 inches on top of what I got in the Pi Day storm when I was in Winooski (my first and only 30 inch event). I miss it terribly. I am likely to zero out down here in a La Nina year.
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On both the GFS and Euro it is cold chasing the moisture with it primarily being a FROPA. That is the kiss of death for the NC Piedmont. It almost NEVER works out. The GFS tries to develop a surface low but it is barely there.
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I fully expect to zero out on snow in Raleigh this year so cold for Christmas will have to do.
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That will be a severe threat within a few days Obviously we have to get out of fantasy range to get excited.
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It looks like the ZR will bust in most areas outside the mountains and maybe even for most in them.
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Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event
eyewall replied to Tar Heel Snow's topic in Southeastern States
I just don't see those ice amounts verifying when a lot of places will start the event at 31F or so. This airmass marginal and the latent heat process will kill it fairly quickly. -
Well if I was going to chase I would have to go all the way to PA for the max (which is what I want to go for). I also think it would strain my budget right now a bit. I will unfortunately have to enjoy the cold rain down here. I fully expect to zero out in Raleigh this year so I have to find an opportunity somewhere within reason before winter ends.
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Yeah I am not either. My record single snowfall occurred up there of 30 inches in the Pi Day storm.
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After living in VT for a few years I need my fix LOL.
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Yes and probably would park myself at motel.
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I am deciding between targeting Hagerstown or Hancock in MD perhaps. Chambersburg, PA would be backup if I had to go that far north.
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I am trying to decide on a chase location. I was thinking Winchester, VA but not sure if that will even be too close to the mix right now. I don't want to have to go all the way to Harrsburg, PA.
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There isn't any hope for this area at this point so I may go to NOVA.
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Both the Euro and GFS look like shite for this part of NC, unless you like a little ice and cold rain.
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Probably ice.
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Caught a quick burst of snow north of Raleigh. Hope you are getting nailed up there.
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Caught the snow in Butner, NC then a solid burst near Creedmoor rd and 540 on the north side of Raleigh
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That is encouraging. it would be nice to see a courtesy flake out this way.
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The pattern goes to crap through the holidays after today unfortunately.
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Work says otherwise unfortunately. This was the last shot before the pattern goes to crap. Hopefully another opportunity will present itself toward January.
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Would this one be worth a trip out there?
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After that it is a cutter and warmth.
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Well that chance didn't take long to vaporize for Mon night/Tue
