eyewall
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Everything posted by eyewall
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There will be adjustments. I am following today's trends closely. One thing that does suck on the 12z GFS aside from being a bit warmer is the loss of the second system. One thing I will say is we have to watch northeastern NC and southeastern VA for a secondary max as the surface low deepens while moving out.
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That was a nice step in the right direction by the GFS. Right now yes I would say the NAM was probably too far south.
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Rough first call for now would be 4-8 (locally 12) WNC Mountains, 3-6 Triad-Danville, VA, 1-3 east of GSO to Durham, <1 Raleigh
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yeah hard to say where it goes from there but certainly the players are on the field at the end of the run.
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At this point if even gets within close enough range to make a call map I will consider that a win.
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Nothing a short drive can't take care of. It definitely looks like a north of I-40 west of I-85 event.
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The 12z GFS was definitely in the right direction. It will still take a bit more to reel this one in though.
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It would largely depend on the ULL dynamics and track for sure.
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I remember that! I drove to into it also.
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That is because of the SouthernWX forum which is like Parler for weather enthusiasts.
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Yep, definitely would be rate driven with the ULL. It really is a nice track otherwise of the surface system.
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I think it is about zeroing out on snow given the potential even if it isn't 75F everyday. I went to the mountains on Christmas morning to enjoy that on the likely chance we get nothing in Raleigh this year.
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There is no doubt it looks like complete crap and cutter city on the GFS. I was pretty confident RDU would zero out this year and so far that seems to be on track.
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I didn't take a lot of shots as I was busy just enjoying it but here are a few (also some of the best shots out there were hard to get without getting the car stuck). Remember to click each photo to see it in full:
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It was definitely a fun day. It didn't stop snowing most of the time I was up there today. It reminded me of VT upslope action. We even saw flurries when we left Raleigh early this morning.
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My wife got to see a white Christmas for the first time this morning as we went to Banner Elk, NC in the mountains. It felt just like a solid Vermont upslope event with temps between 8-13F and periodic moderate to heavy high ratio snow.
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Loving every minute of this in Banner Elk!
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We plan on going to Boone then toward Banner Elk early tomorrow morning. Either way looks pretty good 3K+
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I miss being in Vermont for Christmas but hope you all have a great holiday. My wife has never seen a white Christmas so we are headed up to Banner Elk NC early Christmas morning to change that (likely at least several fresh inches up there behind this big front). Before that we may see tors here tomorrow.
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It will be quite a wild day. The NAM brings that supercell composite pretty far west.
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Looks like we are on to take a quick trip to Banner Elk for Christmas morning
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we plan on a drive to Banner Elk or so.
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I am wondering if there will still be any snow falling up there on Christmas morning. Either way it would be nice to see some on the ground.
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We plan on coming up Christmas morning if it looks promising.
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I have seen them outside of NC and once in North Carolina. It was Christmas morning 1999 in Southern Pines/Pinehurst when a surprise inch fell from an ocean effect streamer off of southeastern VA.
