eyewall

Raleigh came in with a tough discussion to read for those hoping for next week: Significant model disagreements remain for Monday night into Tuesday morning. ECMWF has been taking the surface low west of the mountains while the GFS has been keeping a secondary low offshore. Recent runs of the GFS However have started to trend more towards the Euro, which would yield a warmer solution with most of the Mid-Atlantic in the warm sector. There will be an influence of northerly flow at the surface to begin the day with cold air trying to make its last efforts to move into the area before the strengthening surface low pressure system in the Deep South moves into the Ohio Valley. Biggest threat looks to be a brief period of freezing rain early Tuesday morning quickly changing to rain by late morning. Still more details needed to be sorted out for this period as uncertainty remains high. Tuesday both long range models are in good agreement that the aforementioned low pressure system from the Gulf will slightly strengthen and move up across GA and to the west of our region. Rainfall is expected to last through Tuesday ending late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. Expect dry conditions on Wednesday with temperatures in the 50s.

Thank you all.

Thank you!

Thank you

Ok you are right and I am sorry. I have not been doing well outside of weather with a friend permanently damaged health wise by COVID and he lost his dad to the illness. I suppose I let that carry over to my posts here without thinking it through first. Anyway, I am awaiting the RAH discussion to see their line of thought given the latest runs for next week.

Technically I did not see the thundersnow where I was, but yes we did have that one minor snowfall which was nice. The overall pattern however has primarily been in the Mid-Atlantic's wheelhouse storm after storm.

I am aware but I am referring to the overall setup east of the mountains this year.

I tried to warn everyone. It is game over for this part of North Carolina for this year. We just can't break the Mid-Atlantic favored pattern.

So another thread for mid 30's to low 40's and rain. Got it. Any real chance would be next week.

It is but I would rather see 1040's.

Yeah it was over after we lost the last one. very frustrating to be sure. It is a long wait until next year.

You really have to be 30 or below for efficient icing. Once you close in on 32 it is pretty much over. A lot of times models don't do well with the self-limiting properties. You really need an optimal CAA feed.

Upper 30s and rain for Raleigh ;-)

LOL that would be me and even up there you can't drive on an ice rink. I will just stay here and get drone shots of the trees and damage.

Nothing we can do about it and we are out of time. Now we will be fighting sun angle going forward and the models look like shite for the time being.

I apologize I am rather salty today too

You must be new here.

I can't say the same for here but no doubt you have all had one hell of a winter up there.

No, jut not investing myself in this winter anymore.

Congrats to those that got a nice hit. Get out there any enjoy it! I am punching out for this year.

It is over in Raleigh. I am punching out for this year.

Congrats to those getting the snow from the other side of the screw line.

Yeah I think it is pretty much over. Time is just about up.

We need to pull off something soon. Time is running out. Tomorrow is already lost.

Pack it up. We are running out of time.