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eyewall

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by eyewall

  1. Either way I plan on getting shots around Roxboro tomorrow and I agree in thinking no matter what I think there will be a significant ice event there through the Triad and portions of western NC. Obviously southern VA as well. Max ice amounts of 0.4-0.6 seem reasonable for now. Raleigh picks up 0.1 and perhaps 0.2 to the northwest on 540.
  2. We have seen it before this winter with the models getting aggressive only to pull back a bit northwest at the last minute. RAH busted on a few winter storm warnings this year because of that.
  3. Looks like I will be headed toward the Triad for drone shots.
  4. I just don't see how that much ice accrual occurs with temps in the 30-32 range. You really need 28-29 with a sustained cold air feed keeping it there for the well over 0.25 amounts.
  5. Pretty much this. NAM only gets those areas down to 30-32 which isn't good enough for a high end event. Raleigh may touch 32 briefly but mainly 33-36. wash, rinse, repeat.
  6. Most definitely the worst stretch of being so close yet so far away I have ever experienced here with days of cold rain rubbing in the salt. I hate having to wait all the way until next winter for another shot.
  7. Yep we can thank the mountains for that.
  8. Honestly I would take a torch at this point since we are not getting any snow.
  9. The NAM is better at depicting the BL but don't rely on it for QPF when looking at the next ice potential.
  10. Thank you! Wish I got there a bit sooner.
  11. Some drone shots I grabbed in Henderson NC after work before it got dark. It was already beginning to melt by this time:
  12. I will post some shots from Henderson tomorrow (Sunday). They are via drone and from the ground. Quite a bit of tree damage there near thr quarry area. Ice accrual was probably around 0.3 inches or so and it had already been melting by the time I got there.
  13. I am referring to the extended stretch of 30's and rain.
  14. I am 44 and this is definitely among the worst I have seen.
  15. Anyone know how it looks in Henderson? I am wondering if their 30F ob is actually right.
  16. Yeah our region is pretty much going to be the only one without anything more than a minor hit this year.
  17. Yeah it just sucks hands down. The worst is the long wait until next winter. I can't stand the heat of July and August. The only upside is maybe a a few severe chases.- Yeah we can get something in March, but unless it is a nocturnal event it has a hard time against the sun angle.
  18. Thanks. I was going to try and get some aerials of icy trees. I know tomorrow will be more so but I will have to hope for a break from work to do that.
  19. Anyone know what it is looking like right now up by Henderson?
  20. It is maddening to say the least. I pissed off a lot of people but it seems like I was mostly right for my area with the exception of one minor event. We barely pulled that off as it was. The Mid-Atlantic won the year as did persistence. Welcome to the cliff.
  21. It is complete misery without question. The 12z globals are a bloodbath. The only reason this winter doesn't get an F here is the one minor event we did have. It is a D.
  22. I was hoping to at least get some ice storm drone shots if we couldn't pull a warning level snow event. The one minor snow will have to suffice.
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