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eyewall

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by eyewall

  1. I think for central NC freezing drizzle will be a problem overnight and black ice. Radar returns look paltry.
  2. I haven't seen that but also I was not looking either so I will keep an eye out.
  3. Yeah it will be interesting to see how much frozen sneaks in tonight before the main round.
  4. It was only a 1/2 inch on average lower than the 12z run. The overall coverage area was fairly consistent. It essentially held serve for this region. It increased a bit just NE.
  5. They haven't been to the school of NC weather with cold chasing the moisture.
  6. Euro is not as good with phasing the vortmaxes compared to the 12z GFS run but it is close. Again that is the real key to this whole thing.
  7. It is banking on two rounds with this area on the southern edge of the first and back in the main round as well.
  8. The moose says you're closed. I say you're open!
  9. Raleigh salvaging a good winter is on life support at this point that is for sure. It has been tough to be constantly shafted in a solid pattern.
  10. Note the small differences in the vort max over TN along with the southern piece of energy. These subtle differences are going to make or break this event IMO.
  11. Interestingly, the GFS brings the main round of snow late Friday night/early Sat morning on the 6z run. Honestly I still don't think there is a good handle on all these little shortwaves and how they will interact with the front. I don't think any forecast an be one of high confidence and bust potential is high everywhere in either direction.
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