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eyewall

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by eyewall

  1. Well at this point I think the consensus is a near miss with minor accumulations for most. Basically it is far northeastern NC through the Tidewater and up on this one.
  2. I am liking this trend like everyone else. Let's see the GFS climb aboard next!
  3. After this weekend it looks like a warmup ahead of a cutter. What happens after that we shall see.
  4. They haven't seen much by their standards this year. I am rooting for them and us.
  5. Yeah that is a good point. I am hoping this 12z run is a pivot point back in our favor.
  6. Doesn't make any sense and I checked the upper levels for moisture and that isn't lacking. I would think there would be more banding for sure for the eastern half of NC with a 996 low starting to bomb out. The takeaway from this run is the improvement in position etc as NorthHillsWx mentioned.
  7. The QPF is crap on this run but not sure if I am fully buying that.
  8. Well it definitely looks better in the end on this run:
  9. yeah the phase has been too late and more partial in recent runs.
  10. I don't think it will get the job done for us be we shall see:
  11. If anyone in NC gets this one I think it will end up being the coast. Unfortunately I am not thinking it will be a 2010 redux at this stage.
  12. Rooting for you all up there and hoping we can all cash in from RDU to Maine. I would say the southwest s/w if farther west when it dives into the 4 corners region by almost misses the phase with the northern stream until it is nearly too late. It is those two players that are resulting in the run to run variability. The ridge in the southwest is a factor as well in the position of the southern stream piece of energy.
  13. The 18z GFS is a backslide in the wrong direction for sure. The primary wave in the southwest starts off in good position but the phase is more partial and late. Almost a miss by the northern stream wave. Hopefully a blip but not reassuring of course. Even most of the New England forum won't like this one.
  14. No complaints here. That dumped 10 inches in this area.
  15. GFS: Euro: Note the subtle differences between the two regarding the main piece of energy near the 4 corners. Note the stronger SW Ridge on the Euro as well. That is the difference maker.
  16. The Euro has a much stronger ridge in the Southwest than the GFS so the phase again happens farther east and New England gets a superbomb.
  17. Hell I would be more than thrilled with a post Christmas 2010 scenario:
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