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eyewall

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Everything posted by eyewall

  1. eyewall
    A part of why the last system had such profound mid-level warming which helped was the SST anomalies. The Atlantic is quite warm,. Good for amping up storms with the baroclinicity but bad for those rooting against profound warm noses. That is a factor to remember with these next ones too:
  2. eyewall
    The Euro doesn't really separate the two waves where as the GFS does. The Euro develops a single low and bombs it out as phasing occurs. The GFS has a more distinct separation and delays the second vortmax a bit resulting in the weak impulse first with the FROPA followed by the main wave late in the weekend. Of course as mentioned, we know the strength of the SE ridge will play a key role here as well.
  3. eyewall
    I am just as salty as anyone right now after the miss with this last system but that will just be a mess if we try that I think. We can bitch and moan in the Sanitarium. They have a coffee mug there with my name on it.
  4. eyewall
    Hard to know but that was looking too similar to today. Not good.
  5. eyewall
    LOL more ice with that next system. I'll pass.
  6. eyewall
    That is true
  7. eyewall
    Seems like the ice storm busted for most due to sleet.
  8. eyewall
    It looks like sleet saved a lot of people from a major ice event in the Piedmont.
  9. eyewall
    It is very hard to get a significant event here that is for sure. A 6 inch+ event happens probably a couple of times a decade at best.
  10. eyewall
    Yeah that makes sense. Somewhere around 0.2 to 0.25 across the city. Is melting out now. We came close to losing power here.
  11. eyewall
    From the ground:
  12. eyewall
    Probably changing to plain rain now but this was Raleigh on a risky drone flight with wind gusts pushing it hard:
  13. eyewall
    yeah very close to downtown
  14. eyewall
    Raleigh just after noon
  15. eyewall
    Icing up solidly here now
  16. eyewall
    ZR mostly with a little sleet mixed in here in Raleigh itself.
  17. eyewall
    They are upping projected winds in the NC Piedmont because of obs farther upstream. Maybe some 50 mph gusts later.
  18. eyewall
    The scene this morning lol. We will rebuild! #RaleighStrong
  19. eyewall
    Sleet/ZR in Raleigh itself
  20. eyewall
    I am not getting my hopes up until this gets closer after how the last couple of chances have gone LOL.
  21. eyewall
    All sleet now. We are following the typical Raleigh model. A few flakes at first and now all sleet. We will see a brief period of ZR then rain and 38 this afternoon.
  22. eyewall
    For those wondering, the ratio for sleet is about 4:1 I believe .
  23. eyewall
    Mostly sleet with a little snow mixed in the Banana Belt aka Raleigh
  24. eyewall
    You had to go to the VA border counties for that.
  25. eyewall
    Congrats Boone and Virginia!
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