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eyewall

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by eyewall

  1. I don't think they will do that. I think if they feel there is a decent chance at 3+ they will go warning
  2. I think the GFS wants to develop a bit of banding, especially against the transition zone to IP/ZR. That wouldn't be unusual. To the north it is better ratios getting the job done.
  3. They are not going to budge until the precip shield becomes established.
  4. I would say needs to be closer to 3 to make for some good photos. We shall see.
  5. Too much uncertainty. This is a crapshoot so brace yourselves. The zones have the same for me as some of the warning areas though.
  6. I think for central NC freezing drizzle will be a problem overnight and black ice. Radar returns look paltry.
  7. I haven't seen that but also I was not looking either so I will keep an eye out.
  8. Yeah it will be interesting to see how much frozen sneaks in tonight before the main round.
  9. It was only a 1/2 inch on average lower than the 12z run. The overall coverage area was fairly consistent. It essentially held serve for this region. It increased a bit just NE.
  10. They haven't been to the school of NC weather with cold chasing the moisture.
  11. Euro is not as good with phasing the vortmaxes compared to the 12z GFS run but it is close. Again that is the real key to this whole thing.
  12. It is banking on two rounds with this area on the southern edge of the first and back in the main round as well.
  13. The moose says you're closed. I say you're open!
  14. Raleigh salvaging a good winter is on life support at this point that is for sure. It has been tough to be constantly shafted in a solid pattern.
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