eyewall

They upped it:

This will be fun at the hydrodam in Winooski when it crests. I have been there when the river floods and the water release is an experience!

If you want an experience, I recommend going to the hydrodam in Winooski when this crests.

North Hills should have done better this time:

I took this yesterday and you can see downtown gets it but toward North Hills not so much:

Yesterday's South Boston VA supercell (I took this via drone):

yesterday's chase (east of Kerr Lake NC): The 7/1 chase in southern Durham, NC looking toward Chapel Hill (the leftover smoke made it more difficult): Raleigh on 7/1 on the backside of the QLCS (roll cloud headed northeast after a likely downburst to the south): And finally a rainbow:

We hit Code Red AQ for a couple of hours overnight. It is slightly better this morning but from last evening through sunrise the smoke is the thickest I have seen it here so far.

Not great in NC this morning eithe (Raleigh):

The smoke definitely arrived last evening and has persisted through sunrise this morning. Last Evening: This morning (6/29):

A few shots from 2 different supercells:

I chased two different supercells yesterday in western Piedmont/Triad region. When I got back last night, I caught this over Raleigh:

I am waiting to see if any discretes pop off the lee trough before working back toward the Triangle

I am high point and it is full sun here. Cleared just west of Mebane.

I plan on headed out toward the Triad and points west to see if I can catch some discretes before upscale growth occurs.

He then said it may be due to moth/insect damage.

A consensus of model forecasts suggests the greatest instability will develop from central North Carolina into southern and central Virginia, where MLCAPE values appear likely to reach the 2000 to 3000 J/kg range. In addition to moderate instability, NAM forecast soundings near Richmond, Virginia and Raleigh, North Carolina have steep mid-level lapse rates with relatively cool temperatures aloft. This, combined with 0-6 km shear in the 30 to 35 knot range will likely support supercell development. The potential for supercells will be greatest early in the afternoon, before storms merge into a line. Hailstones of greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible with supercells that develop in areas that destabilize the most. The current thinking is that a relatively quick transition to a line will occur. This line is forecast to become organized, moving eastward across the Piedmont into the Raleigh/Durham and Richmond areas during the late afternoon. Wind-damage will be likely along the leading edge of the stronger parts of this line segment.

consensus of model forecasts suggests the greatest instability will develop from central North Carolina into southern and central Virginia, where MLCAPE values appear likely to reach the 2000 to 3000 J/kg range. In addition to moderate instability, NAM forecast soundings near Richmond, Virginia and Raleigh, North Carolina have steep mid-level lapse rates with relatively cool temperatures aloft. This, combined with 0-6 km shear in the 30 to 35 knot range will likely support supercell development. The potential for supercells will be greatest early in the afternoon, before storms merge into a line. Hailstones of greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible with supercells that develop in areas that destabilize the most. The current thinking is that a relatively quick transition to a line will occur. This line is forecast to become organized, moving eastward across the Piedmont into the Raleigh/Durham and Richmond areas during the late afternoon. Wind-damage will be likely along the leading edge of the stronger parts of this line segment.

A couple of others (I wish the lighting was a bit better):

I will be ready!

Nothing like a Plains looking updraft in North Carolina. This was yesterday evening looking northwest from Raleigh.

Smoky this morning:

12/4/2

The way the sun shined through this morning shower was interesting as well:

Still getting these passing showers once in awhile in Raleigh: