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eyewall

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by eyewall

  1. yeah I was hoping for a good soaking to get some oyster mushrooms growing. They are very tasty
  2. Yeah it was over after the last failed event. The Triangle got shafted compared to surrounding areas and that won't be made up for this go around.
  3. A nice cold morning on the Haw River in Chatham County. No steam fog unfortunately but nice and calm.
  4. I remember being up there for the Pi Day storm and it was being compared to that the Valentines Day event. That had to be an incredible experience.
  5. Yeah I was mocked after the last fail in the Triangle during that stretch of 3 events for saying its over but it sure looks that way pattern wise.
  6. That pattern will return to something favorable just in time to be limited to 40's and rain. On to severe season.
  7. Basically Great Lakes moisture being orographically lifted in the WV mountains. Enjoy it!
  8. Yeah it definitely stings but it is what it is. We barely squeaked out one decent event with so many opportunities. This winter is a C- in the Triangle (and only that because the professor doesn't want to see you in their class anymore).
  9. I knew it was over when we missed out on the third threat here. This won't be anything more than token flakes.
  10. I am pretty sure the Raleigh screw zone is now incorporated into the models. I was amazed this morning to still see this "event" still on the table. I am going into this expecting nothing for sure.
  11. yeah I just don't think we are going to get the job done here on any kind of make up event.
  12. The timing is much quicker on the 18z but makes sense with a weaker more progressive system. It would amount to a flizzard at best for most in NC in reality.
  13. The CMC keeps the northern stream energy to north for sure.
  14. It is so close. The phasing is nearly there. If we can get that trough to tilt a bit more negative slightly sooner we would be in business as far as a more substantial event. We would want the low a bit closer and to slow up enough to allow the cold to catch up quicker. It will be a race for sure:
  15. The only thing saving us on that is it being at night again.
  16. It is all about the deform band with this and as others said if the cold does make it in time.
  17. Obviously that was an awful run at 12z. There isn't much good to say about it. We will see if it trends back at all but the trough remains positively tilted and any phasing happens just too late. Story of the year I guess. Triangle folks are checking toaster prices.
  18. I miss this terribly! I always loved the backside fluff. It's how we got to 30 inches in the Pi Day storm. Looks like a nice solid double digit snow for a lot of the region.
  19. Yeah the triangle did get shafted compared to what could have been with 3 chances I have it at a C- right now.
  20. Yeah not looking good for a makeup event anytime soon.
  21. Obviously this isn't looking good. It may be on to mid-month already.
  22. It is a bit farther south than the same feature on the GFS. Not sure what it would have done beyond that time downstream if it would still be very suppressed.
  23. Yeah could end up with more sleet in reality. That has happened a lot in these events.
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