eyewall

As it stands now I will probably head to Banner Elk for tomorrow or that vicinity.

Another x flare happened this evening but I am not sure from which sunspot.

That is probably correct.

I only wish I could get to Mammoth Lakes right now. Down here in NC I am planning on catching the uplsope snow in the mountains after the cutter but not to ski of course.

I am thinking of coming up Friday for it.

I think we all need a trip to Mammoth Lakes, CA This Afternoon Snow before 4pm, then snow showers after 4pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 33. Southwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 31 to 37 inches possible. Tonight Snow before 10pm, then snow showers likely between 10pm and 1am, then snow after 1am. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 24. Windy, with a southwest wind around 30 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible. Tuesday Snow before 7am, then snow showers between 7am and 10am, then snow after 10am. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 28. Windy, with a southwest wind 25 to 35 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 17 to 23 inches possible. Tuesday Night Snow likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Windy, with a southwest wind 25 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

We can certainly do that down here. I can provide the sunscreen. Even for us this is ridiculous. I was going to come up later this winter but I may re-think that.

We are going to be fast approaching "sun angle and soil temp" season by the time there is even a remote chance it feels like. Being completely blanked on the season is on the table.

Sure if the parent high is stronger and locks in over southern Ontario/Quebec and there is a sufficient cold air feed. This one looks transient for now though.

It almost looked like a shift toward cutter to me on the 6z GFS. Obviously the hybrid CAD wedge results in an ice event for the western Piedmont/Foothills but this is not what we want to see. Soon enough we will talking about a severe risk (which honestly on the wedge boundaries could already occur in this scenario).

This winter feels like the ghost of 2011-2012 in some ways but we shall see.

I am checking into hotel rooms in GSO.

I posted in the wrong one originally but here is how the New Year is starting off this work week in Raleigh:

A foggy morning here in Raleigh:

This is a long duration torch too. This is definitely painful. I will be back afterwards likely pulling up a chair in the sanitarium.

Right now it would seem we are looking to the 8th-12th range at a minimum for any hope.

Yeah it sucks and we just have to wait out the coming torch and see what happens after. We are probably at least into mid January at this point.

Snow in Chantilly VA

I am Chantilly VA for Christmas and this may be the most frozen precip I get to see all winter.

No cold air available.

We drove up for Christmas 2020 since we couldn't see family to experience snow on Christmas.

Hands down, La Nina sucks!

Could be a few spinups on the 23rd in the southeastern Coastal Plain of NC

From Carolina Crusher 2 to Mega Grinch. It is quite remarkable.

Congrats Indiana