eyewall

We got this!

Is being below freezing this morning the pattern change?

DT is getting roasted online after saying the apps were wrong about an inch or 2. Oops.

That was one of the worst heartbreakers for sure.

You are spot on with that!

I believe being blanked two winters in a row would be a first for Raleigh.

Yeah that storm had an inland track. I was on Long Island and we had 8 inches of snow followed by heavy rain. There was a flash freeze behind it which turned any remaining snow into a block of ice. Birmingham Alabama had twice the amount of snow we did from that one.

Raleigh is on pace to join the 1000 day club in October 2024 since the last snowfall.

Getting blanked 2 years in a row is just freaking awful. Raleigh will reach the 1000 day mark sometime in October and I believe 1044 days by the time the next meteorological winter begins.

Yeah at this point Raleigh has the climate of far southern Georgia so who knows.

Remember the advertised pattern shift? Well this is where we are at instead: Thursday Sunny, with a high near 65. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Friday Partly sunny, with a high near 62. Northwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Friday Night A slight chance of rain after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southeast wind 5 to 13 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 55.

I would do that on the 50 yard line right now if it would work.

Considering NWS RAH is more concerned with fire weather during this time I am not impressed. It seems like this may end up more of a Virginia event.

Yep the advertised change has all but evaporated. Don't worry we'll get in time for weeks of cold rain in April.

Hopefully you will luck out. No way to know for sure now of course.

Yeah it is close in that 2/18 timeframe. We shall see.

Not 100% sure but based purely on climo.

Basically these are percentages on the right so 0.9 equates to 90% (ie cloudy) and 0.1 would be 10% (mostly clear).

ugh I am sorry.

Too much risk of cloud cover in New England

I can tell you don't settle for 90% or even 99%! Get into totality as it is a different world! I will be in Texas for this one. In 2017 I was on the centerline in South Carolina.

Ski on ball bearings?

All I can say is I am glad I took that trip to the mountains a few weeks ago when they had back to back snowfalls.

I have to admit as pessimistic as I can be, getting blanked 2 years in a row was not what I expected.

Count on it!