eyewall

Not sure. I think there may be an issue with the gauge.

Second highest crest of all time (Number 1 is 1927 which was monumental at this location)

I forgot to post pics of the surprise supercell that popped just NE of Raleigh last evening.

A friend of mine (Sam Cantell) sent me this pic overlooking the dam in Winooski. I have taken many flood shots from the platform across the river in this image but today it is cut off and closed. The path by the mill is flooded and some water is pouring onto the platform. If I was there I could use the new LAANC system to get approval to fly a drone over the river there but alas I am not (BTV airport is close by).

I would like to go up and volunteer for any relief efforts.

For reference this is not even close to Major Flood in Winooski back in 2017: https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.10104090826253309

I took these in Winooski in 2017 (weeks before the Pi Day event during a big thaw). This isn't even close to Major Flood. I can only imagine what it will look like tomorrow: https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.10104090826253309

They upped it:

This will be fun at the hydrodam in Winooski when it crests. I have been there when the river floods and the water release is an experience!

If you want an experience, I recommend going to the hydrodam in Winooski when this crests.

North Hills should have done better this time:

I took this yesterday and you can see downtown gets it but toward North Hills not so much:

Yesterday's South Boston VA supercell (I took this via drone):

yesterday's chase (east of Kerr Lake NC): The 7/1 chase in southern Durham, NC looking toward Chapel Hill (the leftover smoke made it more difficult): Raleigh on 7/1 on the backside of the QLCS (roll cloud headed northeast after a likely downburst to the south): And finally a rainbow:

We hit Code Red AQ for a couple of hours overnight. It is slightly better this morning but from last evening through sunrise the smoke is the thickest I have seen it here so far.

Not great in NC this morning eithe (Raleigh):

The smoke definitely arrived last evening and has persisted through sunrise this morning. Last Evening: This morning (6/29):

A few shots from 2 different supercells:

I chased two different supercells yesterday in western Piedmont/Triad region. When I got back last night, I caught this over Raleigh:

I am waiting to see if any discretes pop off the lee trough before working back toward the Triangle

I am high point and it is full sun here. Cleared just west of Mebane.

I plan on headed out toward the Triad and points west to see if I can catch some discretes before upscale growth occurs.

He then said it may be due to moth/insect damage.

A consensus of model forecasts suggests the greatest instability will develop from central North Carolina into southern and central Virginia, where MLCAPE values appear likely to reach the 2000 to 3000 J/kg range. In addition to moderate instability, NAM forecast soundings near Richmond, Virginia and Raleigh, North Carolina have steep mid-level lapse rates with relatively cool temperatures aloft. This, combined with 0-6 km shear in the 30 to 35 knot range will likely support supercell development. The potential for supercells will be greatest early in the afternoon, before storms merge into a line. Hailstones of greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible with supercells that develop in areas that destabilize the most. The current thinking is that a relatively quick transition to a line will occur. This line is forecast to become organized, moving eastward across the Piedmont into the Raleigh/Durham and Richmond areas during the late afternoon. Wind-damage will be likely along the leading edge of the stronger parts of this line segment.

consensus of model forecasts suggests the greatest instability will develop from central North Carolina into southern and central Virginia, where MLCAPE values appear likely to reach the 2000 to 3000 J/kg range. In addition to moderate instability, NAM forecast soundings near Richmond, Virginia and Raleigh, North Carolina have steep mid-level lapse rates with relatively cool temperatures aloft. This, combined with 0-6 km shear in the 30 to 35 knot range will likely support supercell development. The potential for supercells will be greatest early in the afternoon, before storms merge into a line. Hailstones of greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible with supercells that develop in areas that destabilize the most. The current thinking is that a relatively quick transition to a line will occur. This line is forecast to become organized, moving eastward across the Piedmont into the Raleigh/Durham and Richmond areas during the late afternoon. Wind-damage will be likely along the leading edge of the stronger parts of this line segment.