eyewall
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Everything posted by eyewall
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All I want is the storm to generally stay in each run with a reasonable shot. It is certainly going to vary from run to run and this far out that is splitting hairs.
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It will happen when I am out of state between the 17th and 31st.
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The bad news is no ensemble support:
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We will have to see what the ensembles say but:
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I am not saying it is anywhere near the same scenario but the big on in January 2000 was preceded by a couple of ice events if I remember correctly.
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I am eyeing Jan 4th for a mountain adventure.
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Tors
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If I am correct today marks 1059 days since the last measurable snow in Raleigh.
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par for the course
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Best we can do is a cutter on this run lol:
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and it is gone...
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At this point we will consider that snow lol. https://www.wral.com/news/local/climate-change-warming-raleigh-winters-dec-2024/
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It is still such a frustrating near miss on the 20th/21st.
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Wall to wall cold almost never happens down here even in good years.
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When you are closing in on 1100 days since the last measurable snow things are not going to be pretty lol.
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I mean for snow. It may still end up below normal for the month. We shall see.
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December is cooked.
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We will go with the Euro LOL.
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There is no doubt the 12z GFS says we are indeed cooked for December.
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There is no doubt the climate has shifted.
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We can enjoy warm southerly flow and thunderstorms on Christmas.
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The 12z GFS op run still has a signal there with a disturbance dropping through the coastal plain of NC but comes up short on the full phase. We're not dead yet.
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We were close with that clipper but the irony is I had to drive south to catch that lol. Might as well go for the RDU futility record at this point.
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