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sbnwx85

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Everything posted by sbnwx85

  1. Putting all my eggs in the lake-effect basket Sunday.
  2. That was a pretty exciting 6 hours guys. Back to reality.
  3. Euro is about 5 to 6 millibars weaker with the surface low compared to the GFS. Takes about the same path though. The good news: that surface low on the 00z Euro is stronger than on the 12z Euro. Overall, it’s a step in the right direction.
  4. Fair point. I'll drive 25 miles north.
  5. Also... and I know this is taking the NAM verbatim which is dumb... there would be some legit blizzard conditions as the low pulls away.
  6. I need that NAM run about 25 miles southwest. Splits my county in half between 9" of snow to the north and 3" to the south.
  7. 18z Ukie a touch stronger/northwest with the low Saturday night.
  8. Can we combine the Ukie with the HRRR front end thump?
  9. IWX calling for 4” so I’ll prepare for 2”.
  10. The HRRR is intriguing. 6+” in Southwest Michigan by Saturday morning. We get sleet just south of the border here in Indiana. A nice swath of 3+” in Chicago area.
  11. Got to 3” after this morning’s lake effect. On to the next one.
  12. 2.7” as the storm pulls away. Hoping to eek out another half inch or so from ye ole lake effect overnight.
  13. 2.2" on top of the cars in the parking lot. 4" in the grass. Take your pick. Edit: I'll get an accurate measurement when I get home tonight.
  14. I've said some nasty things about the Euro recently and I'm sorry for what I said. Hoping we can put our differences aside.
  15. Light to moderate snow. 31 degrees. It's not accumulating very efficiently yet but we've managed about a half inch so far.
  16. Good info as this band appears to be flocking this way.
  17. Got a DAB so far with this initial band.
  18. Hoping the weaker/SE trend of the winter kicks again once more.
  19. High risk, high reward with this one. That OP run on the GFS dumps on Wisconsin and gets the rain/snow line through here. That followed by single digits could create a glacial snowpack. The lake-effect potential behind this isn’t great but not bad for February. Usually the lake is too cold by now but single digit or low teens temps over a lake in the mid to upper 30’s is enough.
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