sbnwx85

Probably need a Tornado Emergency for Knox, IN

Looks huge now. Heading toward Knox. Time to pray for those people.

Monster boy. Source: https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=1450644756449709&set=a.205077084339822

Yeah, came back north quick. SBN jumped from 59/54 to 68/60 in an hour.

SPC might was well pull the trigger now Mesoscale Discussion 0191 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026 Areas affected...portions of eastern Iowa into northern Illinois and southwestern lower Michigan. Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 102153Z - 102330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Scattered elevated supercells and bowing segments appear likely this afternoon/evening north of the east-west warm front. A risk for significant hail and damaging gusts is possible. A WW is likely needed shortly. DISCUSSION...As of 2145 UTC, mesoanalysis and radar observations showed an east-west oriented warm front stretching from eastern IA, across northern IL into southern lower MI. South of the front, temperatures in the 70s and 80s F amid mid to upper 60s F surface dewpoints are supporting moderate to large buoyancy of 2000-3000 J/kg of MLCAPE. Strong destabilization is also ongoing in an elevated manner along and north of the boundary with 1500-2500 J/kg of MUCAPE despite cooler surface temperatures. Strong mid-level flow is overspreading the boundary supporting deep veering wind profiles supportive of organized severe storms. Weak surface convergence southeast of the front has ignited several supercells across northern IL this afternoon. As storms cross out of the Tornado Watch and the front, they will become elevated. With robust buoyancy and deep-layer shear greater than 50 kt, they are likely to remain intense and capable of large to very large hail. Recent CAM guidance and surface convergence near a surface low in IA/MO suggest numerous storms will develop within the elevated regime over the next few hours. With time, these initial supercells are likely to grow upscale into elevated bows or clusters with a continued hail threat and possibly damaging winds associated with strong gravity waves propagating along the top of the stable surface layer. Given the increasing severe threat, a new WW is likely needed for eastern IA into northern IL and portions of western lower MI. ..Lyons/Hart.. 03/10/2026

Bout to pop off.

Hrrr keeping the supes well west. It makes the main show the squall line at about 1 am. Good dynamics in place to spin up some twisters within the line tho.

Happy double hatched 10 percent tornado day for all those who celebrate.

A couple counties around here canceled the test today citing the confusion and the fact they already tested them last week. The severe threat looks substantial here in Northern Indiana. That warm front is going to cut right through the area and any storm that latches onto it could rotate violently similar to what we saw in Michigan on Friday.

Gonna get wild tomorrow.

Police confirm it was a 12-year-old boy who died in Cass County. Based on police reports and scanner traffic, there was no warning when the house was struck.

Today's high of 76 in South Bend obliterated the daily record high of 71 set back in 1973.

FWIW, Branch Co. Sheriff's Office says three dead, 12 injured. Of those 12, three are in the hospital. Cass County Sheriff confirms one dead, several injured. We are hearing it was a child, but that is unconfirmed. Devastating day for SW Michigan. Saw this on Michigan Native Photography:

It's police scanner traffic so take it with a grain of salt, but a house may have just been hit with a tornado (or downburst) in Cass Co. MI.

Good deep rumbles from the storm just to my north. Spring is trying its hardest.

Very foggy again tonight. Visibility was about 1/5 of a mile during my dinner break.

Decent look for NE IL and N IN, too, for tomorrow evening on the HRRR.

It's hard to get a good March lake-effect event down here, but I think we could pull it off.

Miss west

Time is just a construct of man.

75” of snow that started in mid-November. Constant LES. Tundra-like feel at times. No ice storms. A well-timed torch in February with thunderstorms before more snow. Solid A. Would be A+ if we had one more good synoptic event.

55 Friday, 40 Saturday, 32 Sunday, with a snowstorm in Central IL/IN/OH. Tough miss. Bring on Spring and the mud.

South Bend picked up 9.2" from Sunday/Monday's lake effect snow event. That brings the seasonal total to 91.1". It is the 11th snowiest winter in South Bend history. Monthly Total Snowfall for South Bend Area, IN (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1977-1978 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 30.3 33.6 86.1 16.6 5.1 T 0.0 0.0 172.0 1981-1982 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.1 41.3 41.3 19.2 10.2 14.0 0.0 0.0 135.2 1976-1977 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 21.6 37.6 37.2 13.9 15.8 2.3 0.0 0.0 129.2 1966-1967 0.0 0.0 T T 16.2 18.2 30.4 31.6 11.3 2.9 0.0 0.0 110.6 2013-2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 11.2 18.5 46.6 19.7 11.8 1.1 0.0 0.0 109.2 2010-2011 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 23.6 53.8 25.5 1.4 T 0.0 0.0 105.6 1962-1963 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 3.0 41.9 16.4 21.7 10.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 102.5 1978-1979 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 26.4 45.1 15.9 6.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 101.3 1959-1960 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1 8.7 12.4 28.3 33.9 0.7 T 0.0 95.1 2017-2018 0.0 0.0 0.0 T T 32.4 22.0 29.6 7.6 1.5 0.0 0.0 93.1 2025-2026 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.1 10.0 38.6 15.4 M M M M 91.1 At home, I picked up 4.8", bringing my season total to 75.6" This ties my personal record for the snowiest winter of my life. Congrats to me.

Seems on fair that winter would be bookended by two big snowstorms with CAD in between. (Save the LE areas obviously)