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About sbnwx85
- Birthday 10/04/1985
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KSBN
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Gender
Male
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Location:
South Bend, IN
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Couple inches of heavy, wet, stick-to-everything snow. It’s going to be absolute winter wonderland scenes this morning.
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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It's been a rough stretch for most of us. I moved back to South Bend in Spring of 2018 after the city got 93.1" the previous winter. Needless to say I was pumped to get back to frequent cold and snow. It's now been six winters in a row of below normal snowfall. The worst was last season with just 30.3". It was the least snow in a winter since 1948-1949 with 24.2". This is also the longest stretch of below normal snow in a row since the late 1940's in South Bend. -
Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Safe to say it’s going to be boring through the week of Christmas for the subforum including the lake belts. These up and down temps should hopefully lead to something active in January. From what I’m reading from multiple sources, mid-January into mid-February should be rocking and cold for us. -
Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Might have spoken too soon… -
Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Goofus, Your-uh-peein, and the Canucks all showing a strong lake-effect snow signal just in time for the Notre Dame playoff game on Friday. There's still a long way to go but wind direction seems to be the biggest issue at this point. It'll be hard NOT to get a good lake-effect band with that kind of arctic air moving down the lake. Here's hoping it settles over the stadium and makes for one helluva snow bowl! -
Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
GFS has had a lake-effect signal for the Notre Dame game on the 20th the last several runs. That would be pretty neat. -
Congrats! And thank you for adding inches into your measurements. This lazy American appreciates it
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Seeing some snow showers popping up on radar. I think the cell near South Bend has a hook
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Tracking tomorrow's snow squall will kind of be like tracking a line of severe storms. The high temperature on Wednesday could actually end up occurring late morning immediately ahead of the much anticipated strong arctic cold front expected to reach northwest Illinois/Rockford area toward midday and quickly push across the rest of Chicagoland into northwest Indiana through the afternoon. This front will likely be accompanied by a period of gusty snow showers and potentially a dangerous snow squall. Hi- res guidance continues to suggest conditions will be conducive for snow squalls. The RAP highlights well the potential for a narrow axis of low-level frontogenesis to develop with the front coinciding with steep low-level lapse rates along with a modest 3-hr surface pressure rise/fall couplet on either side of the front. This could aid in enhancing wind gusts within this fgen band locally up to 40-45 mph. A lingering question remains when these "ingredients" all come together, with the snow squall parameter increasing as the front approaches the I-55/57 corridors into northwest Indiana. While the Rockford area is not fully out of the woods, it is possible coverage is lower west of the Chicago metro. If this scenario plays out, the snow showers/squall may be developing as the front moves into the Chicago metro. Regardless, all areas of northern Illinois and northwest Indiana will want to be prepared for a brief period of sharply reduced visibility in snow/blowing snow and a quick coating on roadways resulting in slick travel during the afternoon/evening commute. To put this round of possible snow showers/squalls into perspective compared to last week`s, surface temperatures will already be below freezing (which were too warm last week for a more robust initial snow squall with the front) and would support snow readily accumulating on roadways. However, the pressure gradient is not as strong, with peak wind gusts currently expected to remain in the 40- 45 mph range versus the 55-60mph wind gusts observed last week. Nevertheless, multiple hi-res models depict localized visibility reductions as low as 1/4 mile within these snow showers/squalls.
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Having never been in a Snow Squall Warning I wondered if the emergency alert would be triggered on my phone if one is issued. Here’s what I found: “Only high-impact snow squall events that are tagged as “significant” will trigger a Wireless Emergency Alert in the warned area, which will reduce overalerting. The new “significant” tag will be implemented by various weather forecast offices on Nov. 7, 2022 with nationwide implementation completed by February 2023”.
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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yea, all my snow melted this weekend. And the lake effect is staying north this week, so we need a refresher pack asap. -
Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Models showing another good lake effect event mid-week. The winds might be too westerly for my personal liking. -
As much as I love snow, one thing I miss about Central Illinois weather is the occasional 60+ degree day in the middle of winter.
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Ended with 4.3” at home. Work had 6.5”. It was 11 degrees when I woke up this morning. Very wintry day.