sbnwx85

We have flakes!

Milwaukee and Green Bay hoist WWA for the eastern parts of the CWA's. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 127 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...FIRST SNOW OF THE SEASON TO IMPACT THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE IN EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN... WIZ051-052-058>060-064>066-070>072-210330- /O.CON.KMKX.WW.Y.0010.241121T1200Z-241121T1800Z/ Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Dodge-Washington-Ozaukee-Jefferson-Waukesha- Milwaukee-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha- Including the cities of Elkhorn, Racine, East Troy, Waupun, Whitewater, Hartford, Menomonee Falls, Sheboygan Falls, Brookfield, Muskego, Cedarburg, Waukesha, Delavan, Jefferson, Beaver Dam, West Bend, Oostburg, Kenosha, Mayville, Plymouth, Lake Geneva, Fort Atkinson, Milwaukee, Fond Du Lac, Howards Grove, Germantown, New Berlin, Watertown, Grafton, and Mequon 127 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO NOON CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches, with locally higher totals up to 5 inches possible along the Kettle Moraine. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of east central and southeast Wisconsin. * WHEN...From 6 AM to noon CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ QUIGLEY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Green Bay WI 1209 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...FIRST SNOW OF THE SEASON OVER EASTERN WISCONSIN LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING TO IMPACT MORNING COMMUTE... WIZ038>040-048>050-210215- /O.CON.KGRB.WW.Y.0010.241121T0900Z-241121T1500Z/ Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Winnebago-Calumet-Manitowoc- Including the cities of Green Bay, Kewaunee, Appleton, Menasha, Luxemburg, New Holstein, Two Rivers, Brillion, Manitowoc, Oshkosh, Neenah, and Chilton 1209 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations between one and three inches with localized amounts of four inches possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Calumet, Manitowoc, Winnebago, Brown, Kewaunee, and Outagamie Counties. * WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 AM CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Roads may be slippery and slushy for the Thursday morning commute. Reductions in visibility expected within heavier snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

After seeing the 00z runs tonight I’m going for a bold 3.2” for the first call of the season.

Another day of grey permacloud. I’m watching the Bears/Packers game and jealous of thr sun they’re getting.

Whatever is falling from the sky is going to be coming down sideways for a while thanks to some strong winds.

The slight/moderate/high risk maps we’ve been waiting for.

Same amount here. Then the dog peed on the rain gauge to add a little more.

I'm still traumatized by the 2011-2012 winter. See my signature for more.

Resurrecting this for perhaps the final or penultimate time. Much of our subforum in at least a marginal risk today. And a few areas to the east seeing a marginal risk tomorrow. Day 1 Day 2: RAP and NAM showing potential for a possible spin up as the front moves through tomorrow late morning thru the afternoon particularly to my east. Nothing worth chasing IMO but something to keep an eye on locally

This is the third latest 80 degree day on record in South Bend. The latest 80+ day is November 1st, done twice, when it hit 82 on November 1, 1950 and 80 on November 1, 1933.

SBN hits 80 degrees to break the old daily record of 79 set in 1999.

The weather team at my station put together its annual "Forecasting the Winter" special yesterday. They used previous weak La Nina winters following a strong El Nino to predict what we could see this winter. They found what @michsnowfreakmentioned above: temps slightly above normal, with snowfall near to above normal. Some interesting notes: Weak La Nina winters following strong El Nino winters (at least in South Bend) almost all had higher-than-normal snow totals in December. January and February had below normal snowfall. But then March and April (yuck) made up for it with above-average snow totals. The wild card for this side of the lake is always lake-effect. Cold December winds and a warm lake should get things rocking. Here's a link if you're interesting in watching: https://wsbt.com/news/local/forecasting-winter-with-wsbt-chief-meteorologist-cari-peugeot-2024-2025-snow-sleet-blizzard-precipitation-how-much-la-nina-lake-effect-temperatures-michigan-south-bend-mishawaka-indiana

Got 0.50” of rain overnight and some solid boomers that woke me up.

Moving to Tampa to cash in on snow.

Storms missed me to the north by about 10 miles Saturday night, I got split by two cells Sunday afternoon, but I did cash in on about .10" of rain from lake enhancement last night. Almost lost an inflatable pumpkin due to some 40 mph gusts but managed to make the save before it rolled into the street. Sunny today and refreshingly crisp. We should get a few lake effect showers this afternoon.