sielicki

Is it fair to say at this point that this storm has exhibited unique or abnormal behavior with respect to eyewall replacement?

This is why winter weather is better, never any real guilt in rooting for very cold weather or big snow storms.

One of the most unintuitive radars I’ve ever seen, looked ready to collapse for 20 minutes and just never did. whole event reminds me of mayfield: anticipated in the days leading up, downplayed for the first few hours, then out of nowhere…

Clearly these offices are still learning to deal with their collective PTSD from how badly the Dec21 storm was called. When you call for warnings a week early and the models leave you hanging at the last minute, normal people are pissed but the weather nerds understand where you were coming from. When you call it during (borderline after) the event, weather nerds will make forum posts laughing at you, and normal people will think that you nailed it. Among the two options, they prefer to be the ridicule of the Ohio valley subforum. Such is life.

Can any of you guys make fancy animated gifs that keep the valid time constant but shows the change from run to run? feels like the models had consensus on this days ago and it hasn’t hardly budged.

Went from 9” on Monday to 0” for me. I hate this.

Ski hills just can’t get a break. They pumped millions of gallons of water at night to do their best to make snow and survive the warm stretch from the 4th week of December through the third week of January. Then it looks like winter is finally returning for a week. Reverse uno card: 40s and rain on the ten day with worse to follow.

4, melting down to 2.

This sucks. If February doesn’t deliver I’m moving to the UP or out west to the mountains.

Of course it does, how wouldn’t it?

Between the miss of this last storm and the warming trend that is casting serious doubts on the rest of the season, it’s been a demoralizing past 10 days.