Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Maybe a warm rainfall process? Doesn't radar underestimate those kind of returns?
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True, but I was hoping for a more widespread stratiform rain all day.
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Radar looks absolutely pathetic.
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Despite a soaker on Friday, my lawn was pretty darn dry when I cut it today. Amazing to see how quick soil moisture gets sucked up when we have full leafout.
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12z HREF out of SPC soaks Delmarva and central PA tomorrow. Tries for a few 6"+ jackpots in those areas.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like we get severe or heavy rain. I'll take the latter. -
2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well said. We have two big players in our favor: 1.) Dynamic neutral to negative tilted low racing to our NW. 2.) Short wave rotating around the base of the low. The dynamics are there, question is whether we can get a few hours of sun to mix things up.- 2,790 replies
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M1.36" Reisterstown
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Meso guidance really starting to up the ante for the Sunday system.
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Looks like some kind of deform band trying to set up. Almost winterlike.
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Latest HRRR shifts all the afternoon and overnight rain east into Delmarva.
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Looks like it. Probably a little vort max rolling up.
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This is mentioned in the latest LWX AFD update. It's very nino-esque!
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I'll bet that winds up verifying further north and east than modeled.
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Short term guidance starting to highlight some beefier totals along the US 29 corridor, somewhere between Laurel and Fairfax. Wonder if there's some kind of low level convergence being picked up by the HRRR/NAM family?
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Got a screencap for those who are mobile?
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18z Sat to 00z Sunday look fairly rain free, but clouds might hang tough up your way.
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If the 12z Euro is to be believed, some parts of the I-95 corridor could push 4" to 5" of rain. By the time Monday morning rolls around. @usedtobe always said it takes a flood to break a drought.
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12z Euro has a legit comma head and almost like a trowel feature over I-95 at 00z Friday. PWATS approaching 1.75". Very Nino-esque.
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Agreed. It's been so dry that some of the waterways in Montgomery County have dropped below the level for our flood gages and are reading zero water level. When we had the rain last Saturday, there were watersheds so low that it took close to 4 hours to even see a small response on portions of Great Seneca Creek and Cabin John Branch.
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Interesting @MN Transplant. We'll see how accurate this is for the weekend. Maybe another tool in the kit for future events?
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26 inch Fort Lauderdale rainfall
Eskimo Joe replied to bigtenfan's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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B-e-a-utiful.
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Not sure how accurate this is, but implies a soaker ahead.
