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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    With M0.12" overnight, I've finally cracked an inch of rain for the month of June.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    We don't do well in the rainfall department with closed lows over Tennessee. The NAM was the first to pick up on this more southern solution early on and the Euro appears to have lagged the most. Our "good" track for closed lows that meander like this are over central Kentucky or southern West Virginia.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Need a more uniform stratiform rain though to really make a dent. Something like 2" - 4" over a couple of days. Nickle and diming a half inch over 2 days won't work.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Let's see how this looks on Sunday afternoon, but there's definitely some potential.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Really hope we can manage and inch of rain tomorrow. Only M0.62" for all of yesterday.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    M0.53" Reisterstown
  7. Eskimo Joe
    EML and dews over 70 degrees with NW flow. Those are our winnable setups.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Finally a legit steady, soaking rain.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    M0.2" Reisterstown
  10. Eskimo Joe
    With the exception of the HRRR, just about the entire 12z suite has less than 0.75" of QPF for everyone west of the bay through 12z tomorrow. Really was hoping this would be a better rain event.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Wonder if this maybe enhances precip for S. Maryland and Delmarva later this afternoon?
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Yes. The ROC staff are amazing. Not sure if I mentioned this, but I was able to visit SPC, WFO Norman, and OK Mesonet back in April. While there, I spoke with a staff member who collaborated with ROC personnel during some KOUN maintenance. It's amazing how efficient they are. It's like a NASA checklist and they don't show up unless they have all of the equipment already. No waiting for parts to arrive.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    From what I've been told, there's prework inside the dome that can be done with this kind of repair. Eventually the ball will have to be taken off, but you can do a decent amount of prep.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    From WPCs mouth to God's ear.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    I hope so. The meso guidance has really dried up for Maryland. HRRR now has less than half an inch for the metros through 18z Thursday.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Not too impressed with Thursday. After some AM rain, looks potentially mostly cloudy with hit or miss rain.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    From my experience, anything below 1.5" rarely causes problems unless it comes down quick.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like any heavy precipitation will be confined to below I-66.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Indeed. Was fortunate to have a tour of SPC back in April and spoke with their director. SPC has made tremendous advances in outlook and watch box verification. Thoroughly enjoyed the visit.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    I'm actually happy with that. It's a great way to understand the thinking behind SPC's outlook and watch decision making.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Line just collapsing to our west. Like clockwork cells are firing across NE Maryland.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Surprised Pikachu Dot Gif
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Ugh, I totally whiffed on the start date of the service. My bad.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Just want some rain.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Yes. Part of the national service extension.
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