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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Even 30 inch snow storms have dry slots and mix lines.
  2. Their latest AFD does not inspire much confidence for Monday east of I-81:
  3. Come November, it will flip and show a raging +NAO and SE ridge.
  4. Looks like no more heat this summer. Probably saving everything for mid winter.
  5. Yea, but a blue check on Twitter said that isn't true so maybe both sides are the blame?
  6. Looks like were going to have another swing and a miss this year. Basin looks dead.
  7. Similar to what happened at my house on Saturday. Went from nothing to "uh oh" quick.
  8. Working outside today. It feels worse than yesterday.
  9. Big heat doesn't go quietly into the night. We've cleared out nicely. Someone is going to get a solid storm today.
  10. Over 150 storm related 911 calls in Montgomery County. We still have close to 50 calls pending dispatch.
  11. I'm fine with it hitting my neighborhood. I know the risks of wishing for big storms, hence why I carry extra insurance. My orange cat went nuts right before the storm hit and army crawled into the basement. She never does that, I figured something bad was coming.
  12. Thanks. I like big storms, but this was right at the borderline of "too much".
  13. The line that just rolled through Reisterstown was the second worst storm I've ever experienced. Only the derecho in 2012 in Pittsburgh was worse. There are several trees down in my cul de sac. One fell on my roof, another in my car. It went from nothing to like a hurricane in less than a minute. I went up in the attic and checked and it doesn't appear to have punctured the roof, but the house shook which isn't a good sign.
  14. Looks like Warrenton hit 100.
  15. Agreed. I love LWX, never understood why there is always such reticence on the excessive heat warnings. I totally understand the issue with over warning, just seems like they are ultra-conservative with them.
  16. Afternoon short term update from LWX:
  17. 12z RAOB from IAD indicated a ConvT of 93 degrees and we're seeing a CU field start to pop now on visible satellite as temps get into the mid 90s. I did a quick look at the 100 degree days in DCA, IAD, and BWI. Looks like you need the ConvT to be at least 95 - 97 degrees for a legit shot at 100 degrees. We probably fall short at DCA today, but Baltimore Inner Harbor and BWI seem like they might make it.
  18. Dulles, Leesburg, Westminster, BWI, and the Inner Harbor are going to make a run for 100 degrees.
  19. More effective sunshine and it's Day 2. Heat builds each day.
  20. River wind will deny it today, IMO. I hope I'm wrong. I want 100.
  21. Leesburg ASOS gusted to M51mph. The core of the wind passed just south of there. Given that Martinsburg ASOS gusted to M69mph earlier in the afternoon and there was ample DCAPE, it's entirely possible portions of Leesburg got 60 to 65 mph winds.
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