Eskimo Joe

Thanks. I really appreciate your answers to all of my questions.

Which do you find is more impactful for the Mid Atlantic, the PDO or PNA? To my untrained eye it seems the PDO is more valuable to have in your corner.

How good was 2002-2003 for y'all up there?

Seconded. Last winter was absolutely brutal in Maryland.

If you are referring to Hilton Head, KHXD, then the difficulties are possibly due to it being an AWOS and not ASOS. AWOS are antiquated systems that can be put at lower priority airports. If I recall correctly, AWOS do not have a mandate to be augmented by humans, not do they require an alternate power source. Therefore, if there is a commercial power loss the system just goes dark. We simply do not fund our environmental observation networks in the US and the truly upsetting part is that it would not cost too much money to do so.

Oh yea

Oct 2018 & 2019 were terrible. Hot, dry I remember the leaves just falling off the trees and it was a terrible season. I think in 2019 we had a trace of sleet in early November then nada for almost the entire winter. Christmas was like 65 degree with bad air quality.

Don't want a big KU event. I don't wait to sit in a windowless EOC watching snow fall on empty roads. I want to be at home enjoying it.

My ceiling is climo for NW Baltimore County (About 20 to 24 inches seasonal total). Don't want it all in one big storm, would rather have it a couple of 6" - 10" storms so I don't have to go into work.

From your mouth to God's ears. Not asking for a 2009-2010 repeat. Just snow.

My sleep deprived brain can't tell if this is satire or not. There's so many indices and oscillations anymore that I can't tell if we're looking at a shutout for the upcoming winter or if we actually have a shot at hitting climo.

It's become pretty clear to me that whatever was done to the Euro over the past year or two has caused it to develop a wet, hot bias beyond HR84. That being said, it seems like 88-94 degree highs are a distinct possibility. The sun angle and length of day certainly is decreasing, but we still have enough juice to get hot this time of year. In fact, the Millersville University climate data shows some records highs in the first third of September are near 100 degrees. (https://www.atmos.millersville.edu/~wic/climo/normals/September.html)

Would make sense. We do September heat well in these parts, and with the low level drought conditions the ground can heat up quickly. The sun doesn't have to work off too much soil moisture.

If you watch the base reflectivity loop out of Wakefield, you can see the front pinching off the NW edge of the precip shield and shoving Idalia out to sea. Pretty neato.

Lul wut

Drove by the other week. The Shenandoah is low, but should be fine.

Some video starting to come out of Perry, FL

Link to Georgia mesonet for those interested: http://www.georgiaweather.net/

Rather would have the heat now than October. I think it was Oct 2018 where we went upper 90s for days and the trees just gave up and dropped their leaves en mass.