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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Please just stay dry through tomorrow evening. I have one spot on my deck left to stain. After that it can rain all we want.
  2. Yea that would be less than idea.
  3. These heavy rain events seem to shift north and east at the last minute. How long until we're looking at no rain and PA/NY get a deluge?
  4. GFS vastly prefers Pennsylvania for the 3"+ amounts.
  5. Ratios look good on the ICON at least.
  6. How did everyone fare today? Seems like the burgh got hit pretty hard.
  7. Euro mid range over amped bias kicking in again?
  8. Dry air and strong sunshine will do that 9 out of 10 times.
  9. M0.3" RSTM2 COOP site since midnight. Finally!
  10. Dewpoints in the 40s are killing any severe chances.
  11. 13z HRRR insists on tornadoes for West Virginia and Virginia. I could see SPC bumping the torn risk up to ENH for West Virginia, and/or extending the 5% east to the I-81 corridor.
  12. I'm not sold on tomorrow. We don't have any real surface instability.
  13. Man if this was winter there would be top tier wailing from folks.
  14. Mesonet data shows parts of southern Maryland, specifically Charles County, approaching 2" already.
  15. Looks like decent slug of rain coming out of King William, VA towards southern Maryland.
  16. Latest HRRR is more encouraging east of US 15.
  17. A good point here. Folks don't care if we get an inch vs. two inches of rain. Unless it's flooding, there's no big deal to them. Contrast that with winter when a difference of 0.25" liquid means no work/school vs. a nothingburger.
  18. 12z NAM appears to be less than 1.5" for everyone N&W of I-95.
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