Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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NAMs appear to have less than 2" west of I-95. The thing just spins itself out over North Carolina and Virginia. -
lol GFS is bone dry. Even shows the Frederick rain shadow with a minimum of barely 0.5" QPF. If this were winter people would be having an absolute meltdown.
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Well the OP GFS from the other week did have some kind of tropical system in this neck of the woods. Score 1 for America?
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The NAO is going to flip to positive next week. All our snow will be gone
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In some ways, it feels like the morning before a winter storm.
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Really would be shocked if this somehow organizes quickly and jump to Cat 1. Just doesn't have enough time.
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Looks like Saturday AM for the highest winds. The closer you are to water, the higher the chance.
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Updated QPF forecast from the NBM as it aligns with the MARFC boundary:
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18z Euro ends the drought.
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Sorry kids, dad is retired and needs his water fix.
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Looks like all Lower Eastern Shore counties have a Tropical Storm Warning.
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Makes sense given the fetch.
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The latest QPF forecast from WPC as it aligns with the MARFC boundary:
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SE winds might help you here. Terrain assist.
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That's actually a nice steady rainfall. No big flooding concerns and drought likely over.
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Anybody got output from the 12z NAM?
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Looks like AQK will at least be issuing some tropical products for lower Delmarva.
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Updated morning AFD from LWX:
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06z Euro is well west and yields a steady, soaking rain of 1" - 2.5" west of the Bay. Would be a drought buster for sure.
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Seems that NCEP has been putting real yeoman's work into the GFS recently.
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Naw go for it.
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Thank you.
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