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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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All of the reservoirs in Baltimore County are running 12 to 18 feet below normal. If we don't get a significant amount of snow to melt into the aquifers this winter, we're going to really be hurting and at risk for wildfires next spring.
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Good to see some heights trying to build in Alaska. Wonder if that will chip away at the -PDO.
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Dumb question, why are you quoting La Nina winters if we are in an El Nino?
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Hopefully this can get some blocking started as we move into mid or late December.
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Cool to watch the progression of everything.
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Thanks for the clarification. I've read elsewhere on this board that +NAO Novembers strongly correlate to +NAO/AO winters.
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Still no sign of a negative or even neutral NAO/AO. Not a good sign.
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Me too. Honestly, I'd like to pattern to flip maybe 5 to 7 days before Christmas then we don't torch the rest of the winter. I know we cannot expect wall-to-wall cold, but having it in the 60s in mid January with bad air quality and no precipitation last winter was just terrible.
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Yea. We're more like North Carolina, unfortunately, when it comes to winters anymore. We maybe get 1 good storm every 5 to 10 years.
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Doug Kammerer leaning towards the chances of a decent snowstorm or two this winter. Just released his winter forecast on the air. He's going nearly 200% normal snowfall for DCA and "3 or 4 Nor'Easters".
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The good news is that as long as this current pattern holds, we can continue surveying and pouring concrete at mesonet sites.
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We'll have cold air but no precip this winter. Calling it now.
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I'm game to sacrifice through Dec 10th then we flip the pattern. Just please no 75 degree Christmas torch this year.
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Yea baby
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Yup. Some folks expect to see this classic KU pattern on 3 month climate forecasts and then get upset when they don't see it. It's kind of bizarre.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
Eskimo Joe replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes. The Feb 3-5 storm, then the Feb 9-11 storm. -
There are some wildfires in West Virginia I believe.
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I'm not upset about the CanSIPS. There isn't anything that screams "well crap" to me.
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I think he lives in New Mexico and loves hearing east coast snow weenies gnash their teeth.
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Wasn't 2003 - 2004 a cold, but dry El Nino winter?
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22 degrees at our Clarksville mesonet site!
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Low of 22!
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Almost have our first mesonet site at Clarksville ready for public viewing. It got down to 23 degrees there this morning!
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Terpeast's 2023-24 Winter Outlook - Overall Grade: C
Eskimo Joe replied to Terpeast's topic in Mid Atlantic
I read your entire discussion. Really well done. If there is one area that could tilt in our favor for a snowier season, what do you think it would be?