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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    ^weak wave riding a fresh airmass...we can score easily in those events.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Baltimore TV mets posting a Euro OP 1104 hour snow map on social media.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Once again showing the trough near Hawaii and at least a lobe over the TPV on our side of the globe. Nice.
  4. Eskimo Joe
  5. Eskimo Joe
    From @wxmvpete
  6. Eskimo Joe
    ^
  7. Eskimo Joe
    18z GEFS gets the NW suburbs on the board with a slushy coating to perhaps 2" above 800 ft next week. Even the immediate NW suburbs would see TV Snow with the current advertisement.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    18z GFS is definitely good for a quick coating of snow for most areas. Hope this holds. At least we're inside 200 hours now. If we see this persisting come Sunday evening, then we're definitely looking at something.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Thoughts on that west coast trough? Maybe the pattern relaxing for a time?
  10. Eskimo Joe
    True, but one glimmer of hope is that we are under 200 hours now. This isn't some 300+ HR plus fantasy.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    ^right there is an absolutely classic ridge bridge. Also, look NW of Hawaii...another trough building in.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    What happened during that event? Is this site the DCA of New England?
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Bro 32" seasonal total at DCA? I'm going with 9" in the CWG contest. Holy ****
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Thank you both. Very insightful analysis and visualizations.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Love your Calvin & Hobbes avatar. They loved snow and so do I. Interesting how our two best El Nino winters both followed the December 5th rule.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Is a +IOD or -IOD favorable for east coast snow?
  17. Eskimo Joe
    If we can get some snow along the Blue Ridge it should help mitigate the wildfire risk. There are still a half dozen active fires.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Also good to see that trough NW or N of Hawaii and another trying to load up near Japan. Maybe that one cools the SSTs and help re-aling the PDO domain?
  19. Eskimo Joe
    During La Nina years, the Pacific is pretty zonal and floods the CONUS with zonal puke. The EAMT can enhance that and just take us from bad to worse.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the medium to long term guidance is starting to pick up on the consequences of the EAMT event that @brooklynwx99talked about.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    If we get to MLK day with IAD, BWI, and DCA not recording at least 1" of snow on the season, then we are in big time trouble.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    I was at Millersville University from 2005 - 2011 (undergrad and grad school). The longest snowpack that I ever saw was post Valentine's Day 2007 storm. Truly, an event to remember. We went from snow to ice/rain, then outright vodka cold. Students were walking on top of the ice pack for several days and the Susquehanna River froze over so much that people were 4-wheeling near Rt. 999 & Rt. 441.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    This would be good news for forecasting in areas of the globe that have limited surface observations and rely heavily on remote sensing technologies such as satellite and aircraft. I could see this type of forecasting aiding in other areas such as the ENSO and polar domains. Imagine having a more accurate forecast of the morphology of the polar vortex even out to 30 days.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    For snow lovers, here is your chance to get some early season flakes in the next 10 - 14 days. A great discussion courtesy of @brooklynwx99
  25. Eskimo Joe
    For snow lovers, here is your chance to get some early season flakes in the next 10 - 14 days. A great discussion courtesy of @brooklynwx99
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