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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. That Alaska trough is killing us and it has stayng power....
  2. Yes that was kick ass. Naw it's totally this
  3. Naw this is glorious. I've been outside taking care of our horse and it's exhilarating. Yea down to 37 at DCA and I'm down to 31.
  4. Agreed. 2002-03 and 2009-10 were rare winters. We got the big events and the little ones. It just snowed.
  5. We lost 8 inches of snow cover within 24 hours of the snow stopping. Would much rather prefer a Valentine's Day 2007 event where we got the storm on the front end of the pattern change and we went vodka cold for a few days after. We just don't get good winters here anymore unfortunately.
  6. Naw bro let's just get on the board. So long as it snows, I don't care if it comes from the southern or northern jet
  7. This is *exactly* what we need to see for any chance at snow this winter. A stout western ridge in Canada and split flow undercutting everything over Baja. Until this shows up, we're cooked. Hopefully we can get some Atlantic blocking to really lock everything in place.
  8. Nada in Reisterstown and DCA still hasn't recorded a freeze. Bottomed out at 34 and now rose overnight to 38. Lol.
  9. Not with a fresh high pressure nosing down like that. So long as that remains, no way something like that can cut. If anything, it's suppression. Then again, why am I analyzing the end of an op run?
  10. It would've been nice to see a weak wave slide though with this cold snap. At least get us on the board and start chipping away at the drought. Even with last weeks rain, most areas are still 8 to 10 inches below normal precipitation year to date.
  11. Wait did they consistently inflate their totals, and he moved to the wrong spot for snow?
  12. Heck, I'd be happy with a car topper. Just get on the board.
  13. How hilarious would it be if DCA never gets below freezing this week?
  14. Hope we can get that Pacific jet to relax sooner rather than later. I'm worried it's going a lot longer than modeled to spin down and we just burn through peak climo just trying to reshuffle everything.
  15. Are there any analog years where the El Nino continued to strengthen into JFM? If so, how did those years fare in the snowfall department locally?
  16. Don't look now, but the 12z HRRR tries to drop a streamer into @psuhoffman territory tomorrow AM.
  17. The week of Dec 15th is my yearly benchmark. If we go through that time and there's nothing on guidance, then start warming up the golf clubs because we're staring down the barrel of another disappointment.
  18. If we need to wait to mid Jan to get on the board then just about every snowfall forecast is in serious trouble.
  19. Yea that's a big caveat here. Some subtle shortwave might pop up at D3 and we're in business. @wxmvpete talked about this.
  20. I'd like to see the trough get further west and the GOA low further west. Otherwise, we should really temper expectations.
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